Wednesday, January 21, 2009

1/21 - 7:30pm - Still Watching Next Week

I think most of us are ready for a break in these cold temperatures around here! Luckily, both tomorrow and Friday will rise into the 40's and maybe touch 50 for a high temperature. There could be a few sprinkles of rain on Friday as well, but overall not an active weather pattern for late week and the weekend.

Next week is still looking ominous and complex. The fact that somewhere in the region will see a moderate to major ice and snow event is pretty much agreed upon, but where is the real question. The GFS has trended slightly colder and further south over the course of today, but we'll see how that works in the 0z tonight and subsequent runs tomorrow. The Euro is similar, but wants it to come through slower. At any rate, nobody really knows if this will be a mix (my bet), all snow, ice, or rain for us.

The GFS has waffled around with precipitation potential today as well. Earlier runs had a moderate amount of precip, but the 12z and 18z sucked alot of moisture out of the area. I really wouldn't lose sleep over that fact at the moment because it's too far out. I'm unsure if the low precipitation bias on the GFS still exists, so we'll have to see how this acts on the models. There's a possibility that this could be an ice storm or snowstorm, so everyone needs to keep up with the latest forecast.

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