Friday, January 23, 2009

1/23 - 4:45pm - Snow Shovels?

I think we may need to use snow shovels on Tuesday. After taking a look at the latest GFS runs, they've started going toward the HPC's solution of the low passing to our south. This means we'll see all snow on Monday night through Wednesday morning if this track holds. Snow amounts are tricky right now because the 6z GFS had us getting pummeled with quite a bit of moisture, but the 12z backed off. This will vary over the next couple days, so we needn't worry about snow amounts yet.

The Wednesday-Thursday storm looks like rain to me at the moment, but I'm still going to keep an eye on it. If the next storm corrects southward on the models like the one for Monday-Wednesday, look out. Obviously none of this is set in stone, so we'll have to wait for successive model runs to determine the details. I've have more details in the video forecast tomorrow afternoon!

Enjoy the last of the warm air this evening! Temperatures in the 30s are in store for the weekend after this cold front passes tonight.

2 comments:

Charles Loring said...

Have fun with the snow! We here are looking at a possible freezing rain event Monday night...sarcastic YEAH!!! Our surface temps. would support snow at 30ºF, but they are saying that a warm nose above will hamper the snow risk and change it to an ice event.

Ryan Hoke said...

Yeah, we were forecast to have that warm lower layer over us, but that has since gone south on the models.