I'm pulling my hair out at the moment looking at all the forecast models for Tuesday's storm. The GFS has flip-flopped on low placement twice in the last 36 hours and all the rest of the models are playing the same games. Right now I'm leaning toward a mostly rain solution based on a loose trend in the models of the low going to our northwest, but confidence is extremely low in that forecast. The hypothesis that the GFS would correct itself and place the low further north was right, but it put the low too far north for our liking! I think this is the time to sit back and relax while the models play their games and take a closer look at this during the weekend.
In the meantime, we're looking at highs in the 40s through the weekend. Rain will come through Saturday night into early Sunday, with the system I just talked about showing up at our doorstep by late Monday night into Tuesday.
Have a great New Year's Day 2009!
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