Friday, January 30, 2009

1/30 - 4:30pm - Models Having Difficulties

The models I mentioned earlier are still going way off to the east with this Monday storm, except for the NAM now:



That's a definite westward shift from earlier runs of the NAM, so we'll see if this spreads to other models. I still smell something fishy. The way that just about every model shifted this storm way off to the east in one model run really doesn't make sense. I think we'll see flip-flopping over the next few runs, but the easterly solution that the GFS and ECMWF are portraying probably won't stay. We'll have to see if this reverts back to where we were last night or if this stays just to our east.

For the time being, we'll warm up tomorrow into the 30s and into the mid 40s on Sunday. LG&E is now reporting 174,000 without power, which is up a bit due to trees falling in the wind and other factors. I've been listening to the Mayor's press conference, and he's really emphasizing safety with generators and carbon monoxide problems. Remember: Do not use generators or grills inside your house or garage. Keep those appliances away from your home and windows to avoid carbon monoxide poisoning. There have been fatalities in the area due to carbon monoxide, so be very careful if you are using a generator or other similar appliance. There probably aren't very many people reading this blog who do not have power (unless on a mobile device), but pass this information along to those who don't have power if you can.

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

Ryan,

Does sound really fishy. I want to give you a notice to vote for Belski http://bloggerschoiceawards.com/blogs/show/66434 for Blogger Choice Award "Best Blog of All Time" I have also nominated him in 3 other categories. Just search "Belski Blog"

Ryan Hoke said...

Yeah, I think we'll see lots of flip-flopping on the models in the next 36 hours.

Anonymous said...

I have power and feel fortunate for that everyday, since most don't. However, I have a hard time feeling sorry for people who don't have the sense to know not to run a gas powered generator outside... Or better yet, those who really take the cake and light a charcoal grill inside. Hopefully it all gets back to normal soon. However, I would love to see the ECMWF run from 48 hours ago come back and give us an additional foot of snow.

Anonymous said...

Hows the system looking? On another note...you should expand ryanweather and have ryan news too! Also add a chatroom!

Ryan Hoke said...

The system is still east, so I think we're going to miss out on it completely.

I'm going to start doing a live chat before storms from now on to answer questions. I'll post details when we get closer to time on a storm.

Anonymous said...

Excellent thanks!