Monday, May 31, 2010

5/31 - 12:45pm CDT - NW Oklahoma/SW Kansas

After a marginal chase yesterday in Oklahoma, we're on our way to the NW Oklahoma/SW Kansas border. There's a 2% tornado risk from the Storm Prediction Center and a Slight Risk in that area as a warm front moves northward into Kansas. Surface winds will cooperate today, but it seems that the flow at 500mb aloft may turn west or northwesterly. That will present a challenge today because you really need the winds at 500mb to be from the southwest to get the best shear and the much-needed dry air aloft. The good news is that instability/CAPE won't be bad at over 3000 J/kg in some areas. All in all, it's not looking too good for any rotating supercell thunderstorms today, but some storms will develop nonetheless.

If we see any good storms, we'll stream them live on You can also follow me on Twitter and Facebook for the latest updates.

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