Tuesday, August 26, 2008

8/26 - 5:30pm - We Missed Out on Rain, Hurricane Gustav

The GFS was right, all the rain from what was Tropical Storm Fay slid eastward overnight and left us dry as a bone. Our next chance of rain will be a small one, occurring on Friday and Saturday as a cold front quietly passes through. Temperatures will stay in the mid 80's for the remainder of the week and this weekend.

Here's the big story of the day: Hurricane Gustav. This could be a news maker in a matter of a couple days if it continues on it's current forecast path:



The spaghetti chart for this storm is equally attention-getting:



Notice how most models have a general consensus right now of taking the storm between the Yucatan Peninsula and Cuba. This is certainly a better consensus among the models than what we saw with Fay, which had a bizarre and unusual track to begin with. Gustav's winds are already at 75mph as of 5pm, and it's not even in the Gulf yet. If you have any interests on the Gulf Coast, you definitely need to monitor this. We should have a pretty decent landfall estimate by this weekend. This track will change many times over the next few days. Lots of oil platforms are in the Gulf, so don't be surprised if oil and gas prices skyrocket in the next couple days.

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