Sunday, August 31, 2008

8/31 - 3pm - Get Out of New Orleans. Now.

If you're reading this from the city of New Orleans, you'd better be there with a media outlet or emergency management. Nobody except these people need to be in the city right now. Hurricane Gustav has not changed its path since last night, and there's still room for the trend to go dangerously east. There is also the possibility that it could go west as well, but that is looking less and less likely as the storm reaches the coast. This will hit land as at least a Category 3, even though it has calmed a bit today. Things should pick up as we head into the evening hours in terms of winds.

Here's the latest from the NHC and the Colorado State spaghetti chart:





(NOTE: The CLP5 and XTRP lines on the chart are not to be used as forecast tracks)

Notice that the eastward shift is still on there, but the couple models from last night putting it over the city of New Orleans have gotten back to their senses. Still the same situation as last night in terms of landfall and projected intensity. This storm is bad news for New Orleans, especially since they could get the northeast corner of the storm that is strongest.

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