Wednesday, August 20, 2008

8/20 - 5pm - Fay Won't Go Away!

(I apologize for the corny title... couldn't resist)

The track of Tropical Storm Fay has changed around a little bit today, but we're back to about where we were yesterday in terms of forecast track:



As usual, this is just a line of best fit for the spaghetti chart with all the forecast models chiming in:



The GFS nearly puts this storm back in the Gulf again, but that's still up to debate. Most models, as you can see above, like a more northwesterly track better. I'll stick with that too for the moment, but I'm reiterating that it could still re-enter the Gulf under the right circumstances. It just takes one model run to change up this whole situation. One thing I did get correct was the fact that Fay didn't become a hurricane as it re-entered the Atlantic. Simply too close to land with not enough time.

A number of homes have been flooded from Fay's rain. To read more, click here.

Today was the first day in a while that I actually called hot. Same story for the rest of the week, with a possible rain system and/or the remnants of Fay coming in for the weekend and into next week.

Since Tropical Storm Fay has been so widely publicized, my blog has seen a great deal of hits from Florida coming from web searches. Welcome to all you Floridians and stay safe down there!

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