Sunday, July 27, 2008

7/27 - 12pm - Maybe I Went Too Low?

The models yesterday were all a mess when it came to temperatures. The GFS was building a huge heat wave in here for early this week, but the NAM was being more conservative. So, I went in the middle and said 93 would be the hottest we'd get, which would have been on Tuesday. Oops! Now the models have come into agreement, but it's the GFS that generally won out in the beginning. I think we could see temperatures up to 96 degrees on Tuesday, with lower 90's until Friday.

Now it's time to talk about the big elephant in the room... Rain. I said we could get some rain this weekend, and well, quite frankly we really didn't. All the isolated storms missed us for the most part and we're left high and dry. If we don't get anymore appreciable rain this month, we're in for a 2.5" inch deficit for July. While we're certainly not in a drought, a dry ground can only make the air warmer. Our next chance for rain will be on Wednesday, but my confidence level on us seeing some of that rain is quite low.

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