Wednesday, July 2, 2008

7/2 - 1pm - Not an All Day Rain, But Scattered Storms for the 4th

I'm finally starting to pinpoint the rain chances on Friday. It does look like we will have scattered showers and storms from early morning until evening, but I think mid-evening might just make it out okay. This is crucial fireworks display time.

I've been closely eying this front from the Great Lakes that will be coming through on a few of the forecast models, and I think it's not going to be as stationary as once thought. Granted, it will move slowly and put down some really heavy rains at times, but at least it will keep moving. I think this is a situation where just about everyone will see some rain, but some way more than others. Since the front will be moving southward, it looks like we could dry out after sunset for just a little while according to the NAM. If things work out how the GFS paints it, then we've got a problem. That model is putting our rain in here later in the day and into the night, but I just don't see that happening with the timing of the front going through. This should be pretty firmed up by tomorrow hopefully. In any case, temperatures should hold in the lower 80's due to the cloud cover and rain.

Today will be warm and sunny, with highs topping out around 90 in the region. Tomorrow has a pretty good chance of rain in store with temperatures in the mid-80's.

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