5/14 - 12:45pm CDT - Pressing Further Southwest in Texas
Today we're continuing on southwestward in Texas where fast westerly and northwesterly winds aloft and moist, easterly winds at the surface will combine to create a potential for severe weather. These winds should create enough shear for supercells among some scattered storms and more specifically there is a chance for a couple tornadoes down this way. There are a few clouds on the visible satellite view right now from ongoing storms in the region, but areas closer to the Mexican border near Marfa and Fort Davis are pretty much cloud free. There is a field of cumulus clouds we're driving toward south of Marfa that may serve as a focus for development, so we'll see how that pans out. In any case we have lots of direct sunlight and instability already building for storms later this afternoon.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk for severe weather today across extreme southwest Texas where we're at and they've even included a 5% tornado risk area. This is the best setup we've had so far this week, so we remain hopeful that we'll see some great stuff today! There aren't many roads around the area so this will be a challenging chase day even though the ingredients appear to be coming together pretty well.