Friday, March 23, 2007

3/23 - 8:30pm - Getting Hot Hot Hot!

It's our turn for some 80 degree weather! Tomorrow will be in the upper 70's, but Sunday is the beginning of our 80 degree jaunt. On Saturday we will start to get a nice high pressure system in here (ridge) that will bring nice southerly winds to our area.

Just to give you some perspective here, it will be the same temperature (81) on Sunday here as it is in Pensacola, Florida. That shows you how uniform this ridge is here.

Now we start to talk about the threat (or lack thereof in the short term) of severe weather. For the weekend and the greater portion of next week, we will be severe weather free thanks to the stability of this ridge. Late next week is when things will get interesting:



Remember that this is a rough outline for severe weather and that things change quickly due to forecasting difficulties. The GFS has the storm system weakening a bit before reaching the Louisville area, but that is nearly a week out. We don't even have instability charts in for this thing yet so it is very difficult to tell. Also, this system would hit us on the 30th, which is not mentioned above and thus may be added later.

This system is going to harbor some cooler air with it and will correspondingly affect our weather. The GFS is hinting at a cold snap during the beginning tof April, but I reiterate that this is changeable. Our warm spell wasn't accurately (meaning a forecast with 80's in it) forecasted until a couple days ago. Over the past few weeks I've noticed that cold spells have jumped on and off on the GFS model, so I wouldn't be terribly surprised if the cold weather was dampened or erased off the map all together.

Anyway, for now things are pristine with the weather. I hope we can say the same thing next weekend!

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