Showing posts with label fire. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fire. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 5, 2010

10/5 - 5pm - MSU Forecast Video

It's been very dry around North Mississippi and it will continue to be like that for at least another week or two as high pressure stays firmly in place across the Eastern half of the US. These cool, dry, and windy conditions are creating a fire risk, so take extra caution if you're putting on a bonfire or burning brush this week. Check out the video below:

Tuesday, September 1, 2009

9/1 - 10am - Cool Weather, Jimena, Wildfires, Tropics

Lots of stuff to cover today, but let's start with Starkville. It looks like we're in the clear for rain until this weekend, and even then those rain chances will remain quite low. Highs should hover in the mid 80's for the rest of the week with a bit of a temperature-spike for Labor Day.

Hurricane Jimena in the Pacific is getting ready to hit Baja California as a major storm. Winds are at 155mph right now, which is on the edge between a category 4 and 5:


Residents and visitors alike are fleeing the area ahead of Jimena's landfall. Click here to read more.


Up the coast from Jimena on the U.S. side of the border is a massive wildfire just 15 miles north of Los Angeles. Firefighters are hoping that temperatures drop from the 100's into the 90's today with onshore flow present. Despite burning 50 structures so far and growing quite a bit overnight, there's a chance that firefighters may be able to get a better handle on this blaze today.
[L.A. Times]

A vigorous tropical wave with a broad area of low pressure east of the Lesser Antilles in the Atlantic organized quite a bit overnight. There's still no good center of circulation with this storm, but it's certainly looking like a well-defined tropical feature on satellite. NOAA is sending out a weather reconnaissance aircraft to investigate this area of disturbed weather today, so we'll have to see if the information that it brings back influences the next outlook from the National Hurricane Center.

Tuesday, October 23, 2007

10/23 -7:15pm - Wild Weather

The California wildfires are getting way out of hand. Over 1 million people have been evacuated, with more to evacuations to come. The Santa Ana winds (caused by high pressure in the Rockies shooting high velocity wind southward) that are fueling the fires are starting to die down, but there is no moisture in sight. Let's hope that these fires get under control soon.

Second item on the agenda is our rain situation, or the abundance thereof. My home rain gauge reads 3.23" for just today with a storm total (from yesterday and today) of over 3.7". This is about what the HPC said we'd have in last weekend's QPF before the amount was lessened in later outlooks. This is quite remarkable, I've never seen more than a couple inches in one day before. We're not out of the woods yet though, as we will have more rain tomorrow making our whole grand total of rain probably around 4 inches (possibly 4.5" if stronger rain bands develop). That's what I call a drought buster!

Finally, I need to address yesterday's snow discussion. The GFS has changed a little since yesterday, but It only pulled the low north about 150 miles. This means we could still see an evening snow on Nov 1-3 somewhere (as the GFS fumbles with timing). This is NOT a snowstorm. This would only mean a dusting to an inch MAXIMUM (at this time). So really this would just put everyone in the winter mood early this year.

Take a look at the just released AccuWeather Winter Forecast. The high probability of above normal moisture seems to be on every winter forecast I've seen so far (NWS, AccuWeather, Old Farmer's Almanac, and Farmer' Almanac). This doesn't necessarily mean this above normal precipitation will all fall as snow, but it would definitely mean an increase in the white stuff compared to normal. We will be anywhere from 1-2 degrees above normal for this winter, but don't let that quash any hope of snow, because that's just an average. Simply put, instead of a day being 25 degrees, it'll just be 27 degrees if you just apply the average to a one day scenario.