Ahh... Now we get some numbers!

Finally! I've got numbers for you. My current thinking is:

• 2 to 4 INCHES OF SNOW (At the moment...)
  

You may say this is not too much but I'm thinking we will get the higher end of that estimate. This will occur over three periods of snow, Wednesday night, Thursday night, and Friday morning. Thursday night will be the heaviest time with a possible 1 to 3". The other two times will be an inch or two.

Now there are some risks still. It could go north/south of us. It could "miraculously" warm up like the last two disasters. The snow may not even show up.

With recent modeling though, this looks slim. The GFS is still trashed and NAM is weak so we're depending on the Euro/Canada/Japan bunch here. This estimate could change dramatically within 36 hours, but for now looks fairly solid. If anything, I think the snow totals could go up with a weaker model run biasing forecasts.

If it doesn't come, there are still many more significant snow chances on the way. But, as they say, the third time is a charm...

If things get really out of hand tomorrow (say, maybe a huge increase in accumulation estimates), I'll make the very first Ryan Weather Emergency Severe Weather Video. Again, only if I see a real change or at least a very solid forecast for over 3-4".