Thursday, May 8, 2008

5/8 - 3:30pm - Temporary Clearing

Once the rest of the rain pushes out tonight we should see a nice Friday and Saturday before more rain comes in on Sunday. Early next week looks dry until even more rain comes in by Wednesday.

Saw this on Belski's blog today and found it a little disheartening. A storm chaser has been arrested in Texas for allegedly blocking the road. From what it sounds like, it could be just a case of overreaction to a simple infraction. I don't really have to worry about this on my trip in two weeks because the company I'm working for always looks out for the safety of others and obeys the law. We're not just 'yahoos' going to get the perfect picture; We're taking in the whole storm.

Only 16 days left!

Wednesday, May 7, 2008

5/7 - 6:30pm - Getting Rained On!

I was just outside a few moments ago when I heard a roar in the woods. It kept getting closer and closer to the house until I finally got drenched. The rain is moving in fast and it'll be in here for quite some time.

Tomorrow's rain will be primarily in the afternoon and Friday's will be early in the day. We get a break until Saturday night when rain chances shoot up again. No big severe problems around here with these storms coming through, but areas south and west of the area will get pounded.

Tornado warnings are out for a couple counties near Oklahoma City right now. That threat will shift east tomorrow with what looks like a lesser intensity. I'm monitoring this in hopes that this pattern of severe weather holds up until after my storm chasing trip is over. It's kind of an ironic wish because tornadoes and storms are good for studying and taking pictures of, but they can wreak havoc on homes, businesses, and lives. Let's hope all the tornadoes this week happen in empty fields.

Only 17 days left!

Tuesday, May 6, 2008

5/6 - 6pm - Nice Today, Rain Tomorrow Night

One more nice day like this is in store for tomorrow before the rain begins tomorrow night. The HPC is calling for just under one inch of rain by Sunday. We'll hold in the 70's all this week and into the weekend, with the rain hopefully tapering off a little by early next week. The GFS model is showing a very wet pattern here for the next couple weeks, so say goodbye to this dry weather we've been having. Luckily there's no chance of severe weather with this next system on Thursday/Friday.

The death toll in the Myanmar cyclone has possibly surpassed 22,000 according to state run media. There are reports of numbers greater than that missing.

Only 18 days left!

Monday, May 5, 2008

5/5 - 5pm - Absolutely Beatiful Weather

It's 73 degrees with a low 28% humidity. There isn't a cloud in the sky. It can't get much better than this!

Tomorrow's forecast looks the same, except temperatures will be in the upper 70's as opposed to today's lower to mid 70's. Our next rain chance will be tomorrow night lasting into Friday. The rain will start again on Saturday and stick around for the remainder of the weekend and possibly into early next week.

Tropical Cyclone Nargis made landfall in Myanmar last Saturday with devastating damage and fatalities. Estimates of deaths are running as high as 10,000 in the ravaged country. To read more about the aftermath, click here.

Only 19 days left!

Saturday, May 3, 2008

5/3 - 2pm - New Video Forecast

What a nasty day for Oaks! That paled in comparison to the deadly Arkansas tornadoes yesterday, but luckily I think we'll avoid both of those today. Happy Derby!

Friday, May 2, 2008

5/2 - 3pm - Severe Weather on the Way!

A line of heavy thunderstorms is approaching the Louisville area and should be here at around 3pm. These aren't severe, but they'll sure make a lot of noise.

I'm worried about later this afternoon and tonight. Later this afternoon another line of thunderstorms will come through that could really pack a punch. They're in Southern Kentucky right now near Mayfield. There are multiple tornado warnings associated with this line, but I think they will weaken a bit before they reach us later this afternoon.

Later tonight should cap off the rest of the severe weather with the last line of storms coming through. They should start around midnight and the main threat will be straight line winds. I don't expect these to be very bad at all, but we could have some severe thunderstorm warnings in the region.

These storms this afternoon and tonight are going to make a mess for the B-52's concert on the Riverfront at 9pm tonight. If there's lightning, many outdoor Derby Festival events could be canceled.

Thursday, May 1, 2008

5/1 - 4pm - Derby Looks Good, More Aftershocks

We're just outside of a SLIGHT risk for severe storms Friday night as they weaken going east. I don't think we'll have much of a problem here, but it looks like there could be issues in Southern Illinois with a moderate risk out there.

Derby looks good with temperatures in the lower 70's and a possible small shower. Winds are gusty right now in Louisville, which could impact the large balloons at the Pegasus Parade.

Also, Illinois has had another resurgence in aftershocks over the last couple of days. Yesterday evening a 2.6 was recorded and today a 3.3 was recorded. It'll be interesting to see what else comes out of the active area in Illinois. I received a link from Brent in Illinois today of some security video with sound of the big 5.2 a couple weeks ago. You can view it here. Just click on the first yellow link on the page.