Wednesday, October 14, 2009

10/14 - 3pm - Storms Tomorrow, Severe?

Just about everyone I talked to today had an opinion on all the rain that we've had. Luckily we're almost to the end of this cycle of rain, but we have one more hurdle to go through tomorrow.

Storms should form ahead of a cold front that will pass through the area early tomorrow afternoon. Some of these could be strong to severe, but the brunt of any severe weather would most likely occur to our south where instability will likely be stronger. In any case, this won't be a big outbreak, but rather a risk for isolated severe storms and some supercells unless a factor like directional shear, instability, or frontal passage timing changes. The main things to look out for tomorrow are high wind gusts, heavy rain, and possibly some large hail.

Here's the latest outlook from the SPC:

They've put us in a 5% risk for severe weather, but some of the area may be upgraded to a SLIGHT Risk (15%) tomorrow morning once the situation becomes clearer.

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