We drove from Woodward, OK to Yankton, SD to get in the most prime super cell development area as recommended by the surface conditions and the SPC. All we saw was a small line of storms. Not one super cell showed up in this area. What happened to the HIGH risk!? Well, an area of low pressure that was forecast to stay in Kansas decided to move into Central Nebraska. That messed up the whole works. The stable flow of east winds shifted around quite a bit and that made multiple areas of storms fire and then combine. It was a storm chaser's nightmare on radar. There was a little bit of tornadic activity in Kansas and other areas south of us, but nothing near what the SPC had prognosticated. So we drove over 500 miles to see a little gust front and a few drips of rain. Ouch!
Tomorrow's risk shifts east, so we're going to head back to Denver so all of us can fly out Saturday. It's sad that we didn't see anything good today, but at least Sunday and Monday had some remarkable weather.
1 comment:
It was a hrd forecast for the get- go for the SPC. In the first PDS Watch of the day, they were in some disagreement in what to expect. They said that this could have been either a wind and hail event (which that is what it turned out to be) or a long-track supercell tornado outbreak. So it was pretty tough for them and I think they did the best they could hav done, that's exactly why I like weather so much it's one of the hardest things to predict.
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