Tuesday, February 12, 2008

2/12 - 4pm - Not Out of the Woods Yet

Thanks for everyone's comments on the blog, I really enjoy reading them!

Well, as the title suggests, we're not done yet. One last burst of sleet and snow is heading this way over the next couple hours. It won't be that strong, but all liquid on the ground will flash freeze once the colder air from this comes in.

Many are concerned about school tomorrow. I think if we get another good helping of sleet in the next couple hours along with the re-freeze of the roads tonight, we could get a delay. I'm not terribly optimistic of a second cancellation tomorrow, but a delay is certainly not out of the question.

The next item up for bid (queue the "Price is Right" music) is a possible snow system later on this week. I've not really paid attention to this due to our current mess, but I think it's time something is said about it. This storm would be on Sunday the 17th, possibly similar to the storm we're still trying to shake off. The 0z, 6z, and 18z GFS model from last night all show a real nice storm in here, but the most recent 12z takes this one down to Tennessee. We'll just throw that one out. I'll keep up with this one because it looks good at the moment in terms of the GFS. Other models are being inconsistent and odd on this storm. So given the track of the storm that just occurred being so close to the one on Sunday that the GFS suggests, I'll go with a storm this weekend with either ice/snow, ice/rain/snow, or just straight snow. We're 1 for 5 on the snow forecasts this season (weather people collectively), so take this with a grain of salt. But given the fact that we did get snow and this pattern looks consistent for the week, I wouldn't be surprised if we did get the same thing all over again.

I'll post some model run images either tomorrow or Thursday if things still look good for this weekend.

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