Sunday, August 12, 2007

8/12 - 10am - Keep an "eye" out

Accuweather.com issued this tropical wave graphic this morning:

Notice the "STRONG" annotation on the far easterly wave. Thats our sucker. This thing could be a tropical depression by day's end. The National Hurricane Center is calling this a "Vigorous" tropical wave, something we've not seen yet this season. The current GFS track takes it through the Yucatan into the Mexican heartland, but don't trust any model at this point. The GFS has been different on the landfall location every single time it was run. Henry Margusity at Accuweather.com thinks this is a Florida storm or a Florida storm that goes back into the gulf and hits the gulf coast. Of course that is just a far-out prediction that will probably be tweaked over the next week. Don't panic, I'm not calling for Hurricane Katrina II as of now. Everyone just needs to keep an eye on the tropics because I think we'll have a hurricane this time next week, regardless of its location. By tonight, we could be calling this thing Tropical Depression Dean.

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