Wednesday, June 15, 2011

6/15 - 11:15am - Heavy Rain and Severe Weather

A line of heavy rain and lightning moved through the Louisville area this morning and another short burst or two of that could come through again as we approach the noon hour. None of this has been or is expected to be severe, but there's quite a bit of cloud-to-ground lightning in these storms.

The clouds associated with these storms moving through this morning will help to limit instability for severe storm development this afternoon in Louisville and Northern Kentucky. Storms will likely still form this afternoon and evening and move through much of the Lower Ohio Valley and Tennessee, but Southern Indiana, Louisville, and Lexington will probably miss a good chunk of the severe weather from these storms. Further south near Bowling Green, Nashville and points eastward will see a better risk for severe weather this afternoon as they already have some sunlight hitting the ground to build instability.

The SPC has issued a Slight Risk of severe storms for much of Kentucky, Tennessee, parts of Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia today. With that entails a 5% risk for tornadoes in South Central Kentucky and Middle and East Tennessee.

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