Thursday, February 26, 2009

2/26 - 5:45pm - Storms, Snow (But Not at the Same Time!)

I'm in awe of my current thermometer reading at home: 64 degrees. As this southeast ridge amplifies a bit this evening, we might actually add another degree or two to that temperature for our high. Rain should begin here after midnight and the heavier rain with lightning should be here somewhere between 3-5am. Since this is happening in the early morning hours, severe weather is not expected. There is a chance for some gusty winds and small hail, but both should stay under severe limits.

As this cold front passes early tomorrow morning, cooler air will filter in behind it. Temperatures will start out in the 50's tomorrow, but will fall well into the 40's during the afternoon hours. This colder air coupled with a low passing to our southeast will fuel a snow chance here for Saturday. The 18z GFS runs has lowered snow amounts for the area compared to the 12z, and both runs have the bulk of the snow going just south of Louisville. No two models are in agreement with this system, so we could end up with nothing or a 1-3" snow accumulation if this moisture can move a hair northward in later model runs. More on this tomorrow!

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