Today alone we've gotten over an inch of rain in Louisville. Luckily its over now and we'll see sunnier skies tomorrow with highs in the upper 40's. We'll warm up Wednesday to the mid 50's with increasing chances of rain throughout the day. During the overnight hours from Wednesday to Thursday I think we could get a quick hit of some snow as temperatures drop into the lower 30's, but I think there will be no accumulation (at most a dusting for a couple hours).
The real fun starts on Saturday when we get a better shot for some snow. During the overnight hours we could see rain changing over to snow for nearly the entire overnight period as some forecast models have been suggesting. This could continue all day Sunday into that night as well. Here's my big problem right now, there are conflicting forecast models for this storm. The GFS forecast model has been wanting to drag the snow further south, whereas the European forecast model wants to push it north. If you look at other weather websites you'll see that they have 40's and rain during this weekend because they are taking the Euro's model and applying a little bit of skepticism as well. The National Weather Service is betting on snow and lower 30's for Sunday though, and they are siding with the GFS.
My forecast is a middle of the road solution with snow on Saturday and Sunday nights but a period of rain Sunday afternoon. I'm just very skeptical that the arctic air will push this far south given the strong ridge it will have to displace. On the contrary, the GFS has been battin' a thousand for the recent storms in the Northeast and Midwest... I'll have a better grip on this tomorrow and a firm solution by Friday. DO NOT GET YOUR HOPES UP FOR A SNOWSTORM. Yet.
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