2/5 - 8:40pm - TORNADO WATCH ISSUED

It's time to get those severe weather plans in action folks. As I said earlier, the SPC looked like they were ready to issue a TORNADO WATCH and they just did a couple minutes ago. I'm tracking three cells heading towards downtown Louisville right now with strong indications of tornado production. In the next 45-60mins these cells will be approaching the county. I'm basically issuing my own tornado warning right now because it looks like these cells have funnel clouds or tornadoes on the ground. STAY TUNED!

2/5 - 8pm - Mesoscale Discussion, TORNADO WATCH Coming Soon

It's crunch time. The SPC has just put us in the cross-hairs for a Mesoscale Discussion, meaning that a Tornado WATCH is likely in the next hour or so. They say that the destabilized air up here will interact with the supercells coming out of the W. Tennessee area to produce more tornadoes. The red outline in the graphic shows where the most concern is:


Notice how we are smack-dab in the middle of this discussion area. Be on alert for the next couple hours...

2/5 - 7pm - Tornadoes in Memphis

I've just received word from the SPC that there have been at least two reports of tornado damage in the Memphis, TN area. One report reads that a tornado has been spotted on the ground near Hwy 70 and another says that numerous homes were damaged.

This is of the utmost importance here. These storms are tracking NE at 65 mph and will be in the Louisville area in just a couple hours. There is concern because the tornadoes in West Tennessee are staying on the ground for long distances and could still be on the ground by the time they go through Bowling Green and eventually here.

Separate from these super cells is the main squall line of storms about 2 hours behind them. This is when the embedded tornadoes and straight line winds will come into play.

At 8:30-9pm, things should start to get dangerous in Louisville.

2/5 - 5:30pm - Severe Update Video

Here's a brief summary of what we can expect tonight...

2/5 - 4pm - SEVERE OUTBREAK BEGINS, HIGH RISK POSSIBLE

Here we go folks, sleepless night for all of us. Storms will start 11pm - 12am, with damaging winds and tornadoes expected. At the present moment we're under a MODERATE risk for severe weather, but John Belski at WAVE just got off a NWS conference call and said that they were considering upgrading the Louisville area to a HIGH risk. This type of risk is issued only a few times a year in the entire US, so obviously this will be a severe weather outbreak of epic proportions.

Everyone needs to keep their weather radios on alarm mode tonight. This outbreak is occurring when most are asleep, which makes the prospect for fatalities an awful one. If you need to, find a place to sleep in your basement if you have one. I can almost guarantee there will be dozens of tornado warnings tonight around our area. This outbreak will certainly outdo the one we had last week.

I'll post when anything is issued. STAY ALERT!

2/4 - 4pm - MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER

Yet again we're under fire here everyone. As I said in the video forecast on Saturday, the SPC would probably issue a slight or moderate risk and they did issue a MODERATE risk for us on Tuesday:



This will be just like last week's event, but I'm seeing more talk about tornadoes on the SPC's site than before. There will be the straight-line wind issue again but I think we'll see many more tornadoes as well. This will occur around 7-9pm here tomorrow evening, so get your severe weather plans ready now. This might be one of the worst winter tornado events for the TN/MS area in a long time, but we could get some of that bite as well. Stay alert folks.

2/2 - 12:30pm - New Video Forecast

Looks like we could see some severe weather this week...