Saturday, February 26, 2011

2/26 - 1:45pm - More Severe Weather for West Tennessee

Another round of severe weather is on the way for Sunday night into Monday morning for all of West Tennessee. The Storm Prediction Center just issued a Moderate Risk area that includes much of Arkansas, Missouri, and West Tennessee. The main risk right now appears to be wind damage as a squall line of severe storms makes its way through the region, but a couple supercell thunderstorms in front of the line could form and increase the tornado threat. I think this is a very real possibility given that there will be more instability and a bit more directional shear to work with compared to Thursday night. In any case, the squall line itself will also carry a tornado threat wherever there are kinks in the linear shape of the storm system. The latest models indicate the main line passing through sometime near 6am on Monday morning, but severe weather could begin as early as just before midnight in the region. Check out the video below for my latest forecast:

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