At the moment, the SPC is thinking there will be a squall line (thin line of severe storms, usually packing high winds) east of the Mississippi River on Wednesday based on a front coming through with high dewpoints, indicative of a high level of moisture in the air. Instability will remain marginal at best according to the latest SREF, with the highest concentration remaining just to our west during this event. If we stay overcast the whole day on Wednesday, then instability will certainly be low. A sunnier day on Wednesday could spell trouble. A little bit of shear may come into play around here, but I think that will stay in the deep south. Overall, I think we'll see a fast-moving squall line come through here on Wednesday afternoon or evening, but it shouldn't be too bad. The main threat would be wind damage, but really nothing else because the line should be decreasing in intensity as it comes our way.
I know the clouds and showers weren't a great way to start the day, but temperatures will increase a couple more degrees this afternoon and it looks like we will see some sun. Tomorrow is shaping up to be even warmer than I thought, with highs around the area now expected to top out in the mid 60's! The warm air coming up from the Southeast should stick around for Tuesday and Wednesday, but that supply of warm air will get cut off as the cold front comes through on Wednesday night.
My next blog post will be late tomorrow evening... you'll want to check back for that one.
2 comments:
ToRnAdO SeAsOn Is FaSt APprOachiNg!
Ryan, This is going to be a pretty rough line of storms. It will be bad no matter if we have clouds or not. your just trying not to hype.
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