tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-80354549532383522832024-02-20T21:57:02.990-06:00Ryan Hoke's BlogRyan Hoke's personal weather blog. Meteorology, storm chasing, and more!Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.comBlogger1304125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-38676915719157430962013-04-22T18:30:00.000-05:002013-04-22T18:32:54.378-05:004/22 - 6:30pm - Great Start to the Week, Rain Ahead in Starkville<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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Today's weather has been just perfect for our Earth Day here in Mississippi but tomorrow is going to be even better! Temperatures will top out in the middle 70's with a few clouds around so be sure to make time for outdoor activities tomorrow. Rain and storms will move through as a cold front does during the morning hours of Wednesday, but luckily no severe weather is anticipated with this. We'll clear out the storms for the end of the workweek. Check out my LAST-EVER Mississippi State University CampusConnect forecast below. It's been a great four years here in Starkville and I'm going to miss all of the great folks down here. I'm looking forward to my new beginnings at WAVE 3 in Louisville!<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="443" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/-dpK14J7LHM?rel=0" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-21547066988142922972013-04-17T18:37:00.000-05:002013-04-17T18:37:05.110-05:004/17 - 6:35pm - Severe Weather Tomorrow in Mississippi<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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A line of severe thunderstorms will move through Mississippi tomorrow, bringing the threat of damaging winds, tornadoes, and hail. The timing on these storms in Starkville will be somewhere near 10pm. Given the uncertainties in this forecast you should be on alert for severe weather in the Golden Triangle between 8pm and midnight tomorrow night. Be sure you have a NOAA weather radio or a smartphone weather alerting app ready to go! All the details on this severe weather forecast are available in the video below.<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="449" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/VXPbt8vjXWs?rel=0" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-55978626964336716602013-04-11T18:33:00.001-05:002013-04-11T18:34:31.090-05:004/11 - 7pm - Rough Day of Severe Weather, Sunshine to Come<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZHL4G5scSLoeJxhm6F2Olb16vrknPKGdecDK2dkhATSnf1ur9GXUbNsO815tvj4AyDh1gBbbcMSNQ87oIY7VQZUKD1kElCtFnCrLCmAvJ5k8iHPTV8GHpAN7jdbuP5JSDjBKfIn_rrtM-/s1600/today_filtered.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="168" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZHL4G5scSLoeJxhm6F2Olb16vrknPKGdecDK2dkhATSnf1ur9GXUbNsO815tvj4AyDh1gBbbcMSNQ87oIY7VQZUKD1kElCtFnCrLCmAvJ5k8iHPTV8GHpAN7jdbuP5JSDjBKfIn_rrtM-/s200/today_filtered.jpg" width="200" /></a></div>
We've had 7 reports of tornadoes so far today across the South as storms really ramped up ramped up earlier in the afternoon. One of these tornadoes caused injuries and a fatality in Kemper County, MS as it moved through there and eventually it moved through Noxubee County into the Macon area. Thankfully the severe weather has pushed off to the east and we'll begin working on clearing out the skies over the next few hours. Check out my latest CampusConnect forecast below for all the details!
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="449" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/5gNfAHCdG6I?rel=0" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-69721782039047916352013-04-02T22:41:00.000-05:002013-04-02T22:41:36.847-05:004/2 - 10:45pm - After Some Rain, a Warm Weekend in Mississippi<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidR2Lcqc57fBpFPSWGYdQOpyNWco4xs2iJBkG0Wv8VGCVw75c6LFJZfzu2Qfr5kQqQtocRnxyl6tZ_QMyF0p4bseKNAUprDcfTM_SZmjPvOmIRM0Uz8zqy1tDu2Hl_1BrnQ3pNJY99AgDm/s1600/90fwbg.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidR2Lcqc57fBpFPSWGYdQOpyNWco4xs2iJBkG0Wv8VGCVw75c6LFJZfzu2Qfr5kQqQtocRnxyl6tZ_QMyF0p4bseKNAUprDcfTM_SZmjPvOmIRM0Uz8zqy1tDu2Hl_1BrnQ3pNJY99AgDm/s1600/90fwbg.jpg" /></a>A stationary boundary stretched across Mississippi is giving folks to the south quite a bit of warm weather this evening but we're cooling down here in Starkville as we remain on the north side of it. An associated area of low pressure currently in Texas will move through the region later this week, triggering showers on Wednesday and Thursday. While temperatures will take a small tumble on those days we'll warm up vigorously into the 70's by the weekend. Check out your CampusConnect Forecast below for all the details!<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="449" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/wFQXMSt1TUo?rel=0" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-56666573430736994742013-03-25T23:36:00.000-05:002013-03-25T23:36:11.035-05:003/25 - 11:35pm - Weather Says January, Calendar Says March<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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A biting wind brought in much cooler air today across Mississippi and we even saw a few snow showers across northern portions of the state. As a large trough over the eastern part of the nation begins to break down we'll see temperatures in recovery mode as we head toward the weekend. If you're looking for more appropriate spring-like weather, hang on! Later this week and the weekend will certainly feature more of what you're looking for. Check out my Mississippi State University CampusConnect forecast below for your complete outlook.<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="449" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/6Vi2OH6n0kE?rel=0" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-26233696230343712682013-03-06T00:00:00.001-06:002013-03-06T00:00:42.286-06:003/5 - 11:55pm - Warmer Weather Ahead in East Mississippi!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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This morning's cold front brought rain and wind to the Golden Triangle but we've now cleared that out of here as the front is well to our east. Temperatures for tomorrow will be cooler than they were today by about ten degrees but a warming trend will take us well into the 70's by the weekend. How about that... we've gone from snow flurries to warm temperatures in the 70's within the space of a week! Check out my latest CampusConnect Forecast video below for all the details.<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="449" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/ewlDSc9ala4" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-41270104879932592842013-02-28T21:51:00.000-06:002013-02-28T21:51:24.453-06:002/28 - 10pm - Snow Showers Possible in MS This Weekend<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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As cooler air filters in overnight we'll see chilly temperatures tomorrow morning in Starkville along with cloudy skies. A disturbance rotating through the backside of a large low pressure area over the Eastern US will give us a shot at some flurries and snow showers late Friday night into the morning on Saturday. Just like a couple weekends ago, there could be some flurries flying at the MSU baseball game on Saturday afternoon. Temperatures will begin to warm a bit on Sunday and eventually we'll get all the way into the 60's for the new workweek. Your full Mississippi State CampusConnect forecast is in the video below!<br /><br /><iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="449" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/ofdqe0dFjUA" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-37966188222795272902013-02-19T23:38:00.000-06:002013-02-19T23:38:37.277-06:002/19 - 11:30pm - Strong Storms in Mississippi Later This Week<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1BueOfmPoMFZOC_uCP8m3iIKO1alAKYSmj7-xC1_6JAaSaLREC1FdLT5YPulkdP9twTG98XnEpcmdpb6xf1vYbKCOlQGfOWNv-HlPqax0JZsnr5TqXzDw_MvZVvDCPAExs8S4L5JC4m6g/s1600/day3otlk_0830.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="194" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1BueOfmPoMFZOC_uCP8m3iIKO1alAKYSmj7-xC1_6JAaSaLREC1FdLT5YPulkdP9twTG98XnEpcmdpb6xf1vYbKCOlQGfOWNv-HlPqax0JZsnr5TqXzDw_MvZVvDCPAExs8S4L5JC4m6g/s200/day3otlk_0830.jpg" width="200" /></a>After a nice warm day in Starkville we're gearing up for a cooler, cloudier day tomorrow before storms set in on Thursday. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk of severe weather on Thursday for areas southwest of Starkville. We're right on the fringe of it. Since moisture return and instability look rather limited, the potential in the Golden Triangle for severe weather will be fairly marginal and centered around gusty winds, heavy rain, and frequent lightning. It's certainly something to watch though. Rain should clear out for the weekend and leave us with a warm and partly cloudy stretch of weather. Check out the video below for all the details!<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="449" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/2crBe-OHrew" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-38560327257381097872013-02-14T23:50:00.000-06:002013-02-14T23:51:57.659-06:002/14 - 11:55pm - A Curveball Forecast for MSU Baseball<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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Ready for some baseball? Tomorrow marks the start of the collegiate baseball season here at Mississippi State and the weather will cooperate... for some of the games this weekend. Friday looks good with temperatures in the mid 50's and partly cloudy skies but unfortunately a cold snap on Saturday will bring the chill for the game on Saturday as temperatures only reach into the mid 40's. Look for a bit of recovery for Sunday's double-header games. Next week brings us more rain as we're just drying out from all the rain we had earlier this week. Yuck. The only redeeming value to this will be the warmer temperatures that will accompany the system generating the rain. Get your full Mississippi State forecast in the video below!<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="449" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/po7Ojl5ImyI" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-37268055519338990832013-02-05T22:31:00.000-06:002013-02-05T22:31:01.242-06:002/5 - 10:30pm - Dense Fog Tonight<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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Dense fog is already beginning to develop across North Mississippi and West Tennessee as temperatures fall for the overnight hours. A Dense Fog Advisory (see right image) has just been issued for the entire region until 9am CST since visibility could drop below a quarter mile at times. Please be careful as you're out and about in the early morning because this fog will make it difficult to see cars in front of you where it's the most dense. As we mix out the fog later on in the morning we should be left with a beautiful day and clear to partly cloudy skies. Highs tomorrow could reach into the upper 60's in a few spots! As we head into tomorrow night clouds will be on the increase but by Thursday rain moves in. The rain will stick around through some of Friday as well but at least we'll get a break by Saturday. More rain... just what we needed around here, right? Check out the video below for your complete CampusConnect forecast!<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="449" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/JMJpsqE2LwU" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-83687676382759104942013-01-31T23:14:00.001-06:002013-01-31T23:14:47.822-06:001/31 - 11:15pm - Snowy to Our North, but Clear Here!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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An Alberta Clipper system moving through the Lower Ohio Valley is spreading snow all the way down to I-40 in Tennessee this evening. Those of you in Starkville hoping we might get some flakes tonight will be disappointed to know that this system is running out of steam over the Jackson, TN area and will have trouble even generating any clouds for us this evening. Behind the cold front associated with this Clipper is some cooler air that will be working in overnight. This means we'll get down into the mid 20's by morning in the Golden Triangle and only reach into the lower 40's for highs tomorrow. Ouch! Luckily we'll have full sunshine as we end the workweek but a few showers are poised to move through the area for the early half of Saturday. Check out the video below for your detailed CampusConnect forecast!<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="449" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/quUhl-hb61w?rel=0" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-57613554457548446012013-01-30T17:59:00.000-06:002013-01-31T00:27:54.001-06:001/30 - 7pm - Fulfilling a Childhood Dream in Weather and Television<div style="text-align: center;">
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<br />Watch the video for Ryan's big announcement!
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Back in the mid 90's I began having a fascination with weather thanks to my childhood fear of thunderstorms. In particular I can remember going to the basement for the storm that eventually generated the May 28th, 1996 tornado in parts of Jefferson, Bullitt, and Spencer Counties in Kentucky near the Louisville area. The TV was turned up loud so we could hear it from the basement and the voice I remember was John Belski's, who was chief meteorologist at WAVE 3 TV in Louisville. His was a calming voice in the middle of the chaos that was going on outside as this supercell storm moved through town. As I watched him after Jefferson County was cleared from the tornado warning I realized that he had the coolest job in the world. He worked with computers (check!), forecast weather events (check!), got to talk to lots of people everyday (check!), and most importantly saved lives during severe weather with his information (double check!).<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEju5F2yvRThKS4O8xm76oTZWT4E1WMmfhWSsvbKVgneX2cuAaN6YshkzXNreDfuloDBVEViRwZF9XWFCdiOgxCJY225fTQH7bhyphenhyphen3ezUSCshZcVwxUDxT8j0iJYZ4hVl_bacya4qSWb2Thhw/s1600/Wave3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="155" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEju5F2yvRThKS4O8xm76oTZWT4E1WMmfhWSsvbKVgneX2cuAaN6YshkzXNreDfuloDBVEViRwZF9XWFCdiOgxCJY225fTQH7bhyphenhyphen3ezUSCshZcVwxUDxT8j0iJYZ4hVl_bacya4qSWb2Thhw/s200/Wave3.jpg" width="200" /></a>While other childhood dreams came and went, this particular fascination with weather and my desire to get a degree in meteorology never fluctuated. In middle school I had finally made up my mind that becoming a meteorologist would be the ultimate end game for me. Since then I've been working every single day to make sure that I could become the best meteorologist that I could be. WAVE 3 was a huge part of this because John Belski and others would routinely post things on the Internet that I could learn from. I grew to really enjoy watching this station as a student because the meteorologists who worked there were different. They each knew the area very well, used sound science in their forecasting, and most importantly, had a passion for weather I've not seen anywhere else. This hasn't changed.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1yya5fcKiZ56G2OKIBOxC1HkeNZyNHc3i2836aGgmnrIDPcab2G9xDs3pSl2BTYGzvDAojNll6ELEr_UZjPmS5TCDvTd4JJ251SAJwax59hqaPWd8W-Wh27iiKJMh3l3_WU4EqPlUvZYj/s1600/IMG_0292.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="150" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1yya5fcKiZ56G2OKIBOxC1HkeNZyNHc3i2836aGgmnrIDPcab2G9xDs3pSl2BTYGzvDAojNll6ELEr_UZjPmS5TCDvTd4JJ251SAJwax59hqaPWd8W-Wh27iiKJMh3l3_WU4EqPlUvZYj/s200/IMG_0292.JPG" width="200" /></a></div>
I was fortunate enough to intern with Kevin Harned, Brian Goode, and the rest of the WAVE 3 Storm Tracking Team over the summer and quickly realized that Louisville and WAVE were still home to me. I know a lot of people like to leave home once they go to college and into a career but after seeing so many different places in my years of storm chasing, working in TV, and going to college I found that the best one for me is right at home in Kentuckiana. But never did I think that I would be able to return there so quickly.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg7NXwzDCI_XGlC4_3dUrnmIIjgz_v2moR2scNsPmqEb_hKrlioKYUgUXIDAznWj74ZiNzCWLdcBvBuacR6sTpjP2RNCFuI7MOoREDqAVsVtFD5nJ2UkOOp72-QskU3qZI8idVvrAwFcJq-/s1600/385703_292829207461507_1649666781_n.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="92" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg7NXwzDCI_XGlC4_3dUrnmIIjgz_v2moR2scNsPmqEb_hKrlioKYUgUXIDAznWj74ZiNzCWLdcBvBuacR6sTpjP2RNCFuI7MOoREDqAVsVtFD5nJ2UkOOp72-QskU3qZI8idVvrAwFcJq-/s320/385703_292829207461507_1649666781_n.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
That's right. If you haven't guessed it yet (or watched the video at the top of this post), I'm announcing today that my childhood dream of becoming a meteorologist in Louisville at WAVE-TV will become a reality in late May after I graduate from Mississippi State. The position I've accepted has me as a meteorologist on WAVE 3 Sunrise Saturday and a social media and marketing graphic artist for the rest of the week while still assisting the Storm Tracking Team in their online offerings. This brings the number of hometown meteorologists on the WAVE 3 Storm Tracking Team to 6. Yes, 6! That's an astounding amount of resources for a TV station and it's only going to aid in serving up the best weather forecasts and information for Kentuckiana. This is a fantastic opportunity and I'm still trying to comprehend just how amazing it is. I'm looking forward to being back home in my city, my Louisville, and doing what I love most. Thanks to all who've supported me over the years. This is big stuff!Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-53357399391842520742013-01-29T17:47:00.000-06:002013-01-29T18:23:53.753-06:001/29 - 5:45pm - Serious Severe Weather Concerns Tonight<div style="text-align: center;">
<b><u>Latest Severe Weather Updates</u></b></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjqUSycZfozMS_ijoyXhWvPimTQTu1m96XvBRa1h9RCF_EYPx7b8g5PiR2-9Wx6mEJsjfqKnr6wRGLURqGnEwxderzCWDaHi-5UapNz0rQlLFO9hIds8wDHLDyiXuQb2cjaFKKr2tVtACAf/s1600/severe.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="150" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjqUSycZfozMS_ijoyXhWvPimTQTu1m96XvBRa1h9RCF_EYPx7b8g5PiR2-9Wx6mEJsjfqKnr6wRGLURqGnEwxderzCWDaHi-5UapNz0rQlLFO9hIds8wDHLDyiXuQb2cjaFKKr2tVtACAf/s200/severe.jpg" width="200" /></a>A severe weather setup that we see normally in the springtime is about to unfold on this late January night across a large expanse of the Southeast. While not "unprecedented" or "once-in-a-lifetime", this outbreak is going to impact quite a few people and it's important that everyone have what they need to be prepared and safe. This post is mainly for folks in North Mississippi and West Tennessee, but you can figure out pretty well how you'll be affected if you're not in these areas by some of the maps and information below. Everyone needs to be aware of what's going on because this will be happening at a very bad time of night when even the night owls are asleep.<br />
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<span style="font-size: small;"><i><b><span style="font-size: large;">Fast Facts</span></b></i></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjpykB2AqlNgY7pf6xyHx2a-nLtsnikkKgbgfGwK8tBRRKJHFzdJFFQtIdxBUbWJHlDOyHokGlDlweD8GPduzcEqxmM7uqBC7kDPy4x55jPvxnaPgoXrxmjM0nEfTrBcBoGSP9PP57x3plU/s1600/spc.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="178" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjpykB2AqlNgY7pf6xyHx2a-nLtsnikkKgbgfGwK8tBRRKJHFzdJFFQtIdxBUbWJHlDOyHokGlDlweD8GPduzcEqxmM7uqBC7kDPy4x55jPvxnaPgoXrxmjM0nEfTrBcBoGSP9PP57x3plU/s200/spc.jpg" width="200" /></a>A MODERATE Risk of severe weather has been issued by the Storm Prediction Center for the overnight hours in West Tennessee and most of North Mississippi. Tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail are all on the table for these areas as storms move through. Even though places like the Golden Triangle in Mississippi are just outside of the Moderate Risk area I would treat this as if you were in it because these storms are going to be very, very strong still as they move through this region. Please, please, please have a weather radio or smartphone app that's armed and ready to alert you if a Tornado Warning is issued for your location tonight. This will be hitting when most people are asleep so it's a very dangerous situation.<br />
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<span style="font-size: small;"><i><b><span style="font-size: large;">Tim<span style="font-size: large;">ing </span></span></b><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;">- N</span>orth MS and West TN</span></span><b><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></span></b></i></span></div>
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<span style="color: #b45f06;"><span style="color: #bf9000;"><b>8pm - Midnight</b></span> </span>- Small chance for some isolated storms. These would carry a tornado, wind, and hail threat.<br />
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<span style="color: #b45f06;"><b>Midnight - 2am</b></span> - Slightly better chance for isolated storms, small line of storms may try to form ahead of main line.<br />
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<span style="color: #cc0000;"><b>2am - 7am</b></span> - Main line of severe thunderstorms moves through. This will affect <b>everyone</b>. Tornadoes, severe damaging winds, and hail are a good bet during this time.<br />
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<span style="font-size: small;"><i><b><span style="font-size: large;">Discussion<span style="font-size: large;"></span></span></b></i></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgy860Ef06ClF02uBKLLtUhtJlrq4N_Rhj0QtcrMCDJiXo8vjRiIiMCQKYdjc0ra1gtOHpaLHPimj8JMaBFGx8A3NcW8l0wapUf8dE18o3y_Ma2fcpkz9OnHlk2Mf9aRSb6RVfR-6T7i1Bw/s1600/Explainermain.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="150" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgy860Ef06ClF02uBKLLtUhtJlrq4N_Rhj0QtcrMCDJiXo8vjRiIiMCQKYdjc0ra1gtOHpaLHPimj8JMaBFGx8A3NcW8l0wapUf8dE18o3y_Ma2fcpkz9OnHlk2Mf9aRSb6RVfR-6T7i1Bw/s200/Explainermain.jpg" width="200" /></a>A line of storms stretches from the Great Lakes to Texas right now and will continue to move eastward through the evening. A few reports of severe weather have come in already from this but the main show will be overnight as this line of storms encounters a more rich environment for severe weather.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiWbyqxw64KGkvujv1GqnIVFsRzavm4N12kB99YAFEEGqbGr92xb8j7kGPlFMZHW5V-pg_77FflAVH9yZdZc9h_FR3sb8H8oivCLZDzeWn925ceGNr05rjYpQexCLgaDQHOO81SxyR7lB1R/s1600/hires_ref_east_16.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="150" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiWbyqxw64KGkvujv1GqnIVFsRzavm4N12kB99YAFEEGqbGr92xb8j7kGPlFMZHW5V-pg_77FflAVH9yZdZc9h_FR3sb8H8oivCLZDzeWn925ceGNr05rjYpQexCLgaDQHOO81SxyR7lB1R/s200/hires_ref_east_16.png" width="200" /></a>The main storm mode for tonight will be a squall line of storms with embedded rotation in portions of it (AKA what's termed a QLCS). Supercell storms will be possible ahead of the main line of storms too and could easily produce tornadoes if they develop. Tornadoes in QLCS lines of storms like the one we'll have tonight are more difficult to identify on radar since they're embedded within the line. While not as strong as supercell tornadoes, QLCS tornadoes can be strong and cause massive damage in the right environment.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjpfe1j2nzNsfozVXu_fwPMAnFN9otlGokGweAcwab5XJKMEd0NvvobnZrjg1uS3eA6LMrv0Wo0vDRYoqRPkhIIEJ160j3SnWvo4cRPGyARBq2Y3XmMujNCLr78XYyEutsqWy3-XK3Zmt1m/s1600/Explainerehi.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="150" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjpfe1j2nzNsfozVXu_fwPMAnFN9otlGokGweAcwab5XJKMEd0NvvobnZrjg1uS3eA6LMrv0Wo0vDRYoqRPkhIIEJ160j3SnWvo4cRPGyARBq2Y3XmMujNCLr78XYyEutsqWy3-XK3Zmt1m/s200/Explainerehi.jpg" width="200" /></a></div>
While directional shear, which is needed to produce tornadoes, isn't very good for this event, the speed shear or tendency for winds to increase in speed with height will be very good. But, the directional shear may just be enough to cause problems. When you combine helicity (caused by shear) with instability in a formula you get what's called the Energy Helicity Index (EHI). This, in my mind, is a good determinant of tornado ingredients in an environment. The NAM model has increased levels of the EHI throughout West Tennessee and Mississippi tonight as this squall line is moving through so these QLCS tornadoes may have some kick to them if they develop. Not good news at all.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgvbcTCLFhXT4XiR-KY5vkrhgYp7N3T8XqmbAwcH_m2XVMhMJHciirX6UCkDmDuonfBtFrE9D4kbbuKSj7oG9EUcoHn8FEFqd5ouuD_S2Pe-EyMcEnOqcYonBaYZtkWNV4Y-00pYKPT9DDm/s1600/Explainermain850.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="150" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgvbcTCLFhXT4XiR-KY5vkrhgYp7N3T8XqmbAwcH_m2XVMhMJHciirX6UCkDmDuonfBtFrE9D4kbbuKSj7oG9EUcoHn8FEFqd5ouuD_S2Pe-EyMcEnOqcYonBaYZtkWNV4Y-00pYKPT9DDm/s200/Explainermain850.jpg" width="200" /></a>Also, since winds at 850 mb (about 5,000 feet) will be howling it will not take much for any part of this line of storms to pull these winds down to the surface and create straight-line wind damage. I wouldn't be surprised if folks affected by the worst of these winds thought they were hit by a tornado. I'm hearing the word <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Derecho" target="_blank">Derecho</a> being thrown around a bit with regard to how this system will develop tonight. That's certainly a possibility with this system but I think it's a relatively small chance.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjkKbH88s8HAFGu62tRU_QP8_WOWQrbCjCxUcerombN4m9Rr962Fx0AyqM7TPbbFOfguTBWirje-58iQXFg6ThN50oQ7z6flnDRwIbQW0J4Jn5RBA_IDT3ldJAJSwcuFkLIJ54h9iWLFlnL/s1600/Explainermainwind.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="150" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjkKbH88s8HAFGu62tRU_QP8_WOWQrbCjCxUcerombN4m9Rr962Fx0AyqM7TPbbFOfguTBWirje-58iQXFg6ThN50oQ7z6flnDRwIbQW0J4Jn5RBA_IDT3ldJAJSwcuFkLIJ54h9iWLFlnL/s200/Explainermainwind.jpg" width="200" /></a></div>
One more thing to mention, and this is not the least important at all, is the fact that moisture and warm air continues to stream in from the south in advance of this system. When the dry line that's triggering these storms hits this richer air tonight you'll know. The whole line of storms should really begin to light up by then. Having air this warm and moist in January is never a good thing because Mother Nature intends to correct it in a violent way.<br />
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<b>Follow me on <a href="http://twitter.com/ryanhoke" target="_blank">Twitter</a> and my <a href="http://facebook.com/hokeywx" target="_blank">Facebook</a> page for the latest updates tonight!</b>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-36237404830301689222013-01-24T22:40:00.000-06:002013-01-25T10:52:47.819-06:001/24 - Ryan's Top Weather Apps for 2013<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJ7tBRBHejXZzPZKWiqdXc572Q9YlnnSa4FIsc-Y4JdKaYfkglbMWLyIPGTvRBmlUr6zC5TAy346ZkCdGerhvnBGzf-9VNvBNY9cTvy-nIifkRW5F4xx_9N0t5snVwHktURArDj13u9ghI/s1600/top-weather-apps.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJ7tBRBHejXZzPZKWiqdXc572Q9YlnnSa4FIsc-Y4JdKaYfkglbMWLyIPGTvRBmlUr6zC5TAy346ZkCdGerhvnBGzf-9VNvBNY9cTvy-nIifkRW5F4xx_9N0t5snVwHktURArDj13u9ghI/s200/top-weather-apps.jpg" width="105" /></a>Last March I made a blog post listing some of my favorite weather apps. Since the mobile weather landscape has changed a bit since then I've updated this list for 2013. With the ever-growing number of mobile devices there is similar growth in the weather app market and it's difficult to keep up with all the new apps. The apps listed below are ones that I use on my mobile devices as a student of meteorology, a broadcaster, and a storm chaser. Some of these apps are great for everyone while others are more suited to die-hard weather geeks and professionals. I'd like to point out that I use an iPhone and an iPad, but I've indicated which of the iOS apps that I use are available for Android too. I've not listed prices for these apps, except for the free ones, since they are subject to change.<br />
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<b><span style="font-size: large;">RadarScope -</span></b><span style="font-size: large;"> (<a href="http://itunes.apple.com/us/app/radarscope/id288419283?mt=8" target="_blank">iPhone/iPad</a> and <a href="https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.basevelocity.radarscope" target="_blank">Android</a>) </span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCXgUq48TDIyTp5krVXz47d0rGhj0NZTKscU3TNDek1317RGZ1yt5zf2EK6fh7sagUds2nBMWqh_neEBPJ78xmMwojMSMZpwo09m4F1Hs6Fkoe1rscwy1KWOuC1-2PA3zH0uHIgs6Lpxwu/s1600/mzl.jtlylbyv.320x480-75.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCXgUq48TDIyTp5krVXz47d0rGhj0NZTKscU3TNDek1317RGZ1yt5zf2EK6fh7sagUds2nBMWqh_neEBPJ78xmMwojMSMZpwo09m4F1Hs6Fkoe1rscwy1KWOuC1-2PA3zH0uHIgs6Lpxwu/s200/mzl.jtlylbyv.320x480-75.jpg" width="133" /></a><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhxBnAe717vHpQu6F-3mG_8c8W1BDE6bv31wmf66x7cgmQaxNg7EKVfsNwGwO86fbqxd9-el5b5Um0mHVTaHEBQpydUZ05ddq7KWZFxIfESTYq71M2DB8bsXzF4xXojN2N1gpV8T381m-66/s1600/mzl.tegbgbyd.100x100-75.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhxBnAe717vHpQu6F-3mG_8c8W1BDE6bv31wmf66x7cgmQaxNg7EKVfsNwGwO86fbqxd9-el5b5Um0mHVTaHEBQpydUZ05ddq7KWZFxIfESTYq71M2DB8bsXzF4xXojN2N1gpV8T381m-66/s1600/mzl.tegbgbyd.100x100-75.jpg" /></a><a href="http://basevelocity.com/" target="_blank">Radarscope</a> is by far the most feature-packed weather radar viewing app for mobile devices at the moment. I've been using this app since it was released in 2008 and have been impressed with the subsequent updates that have been applied since. This app is so powerful because it allows you to view radar products like base reflectivity, base velocity, VIL, echo tops, and now even dual-pol products and Level 2 SuperRes data. If you don't know what any of that means and just want a simple radar app to show you where you are in relation to the storms around you, this is still an app for you. It displays weather warning polygons, which are essential because you're able to easily see which storms are severe near your location or anywhere else in the US. If you're a die-hard weather geek or storm chaser, this app also accepts packaged weather data plans from AllisonHouse for expanded capabilities. There's even a Mac version of this app that many use in place of the famous GRLevelx suite of radar apps for Windows that cannot run on a Mac.<br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><b>MyWarn -</b> (<a href="http://itunes.apple.com/us/app/mywarn/id498858585?mt=8" target="_blank">iPhone</a>, Android in development)</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjyBDi2tq95outYPkOc-K9A2FKqOnpBewMzBRgmF7KWxZ0tMxNJ9GNTwlIDqETYMy0GmLM6AAp-ZOXUNIZTNMXP8p9knnoS2nQGQovH7Fgbf0lItnI2en9vRiNVhraeq-sfYAyq8oyZjBbN/s1600/mzl.fqfjsmqa.320x480-75.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjyBDi2tq95outYPkOc-K9A2FKqOnpBewMzBRgmF7KWxZ0tMxNJ9GNTwlIDqETYMy0GmLM6AAp-ZOXUNIZTNMXP8p9knnoS2nQGQovH7Fgbf0lItnI2en9vRiNVhraeq-sfYAyq8oyZjBbN/s200/mzl.fqfjsmqa.320x480-75.jpg" width="133" /></a><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjsldPADda268rm8vKc48CfeeTVy5T3mgOKbvypCj5A9K3BH1gxKj9V7cBNKItWfB1dHIX77ORSNCg7_WGBtjC6q99us2ZJFIUSsHsFZ_5M6_p7M_w3H9XQN-BVV3rFuCJ1d636dXAFIoPM/s1600/mzl.dyfgtnvq.100x100-75.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjsldPADda268rm8vKc48CfeeTVy5T3mgOKbvypCj5A9K3BH1gxKj9V7cBNKItWfB1dHIX77ORSNCg7_WGBtjC6q99us2ZJFIUSsHsFZ_5M6_p7M_w3H9XQN-BVV3rFuCJ1d636dXAFIoPM/s1600/mzl.dyfgtnvq.100x100-75.jpg" /></a><a href="http://www.mywarn.com/" target="_blank">MyWarn</a> is a simple app that alerts you of severe weather that will affect your location. Efforts to turn your smartphone in to the equivalent of a NOAA Weather Radio have been made with other apps before, but this app does it differently and simply. MyWarn's one and only function is to alert you when severe weather watches and warnings are issued for your current location, much like a real weather radio. The interface is very clean and there are quite a few settings in the app that allow you to customize which alerts you want to receive. Something I really like about this app that I've not seen in others is that it will alert you when the Storm Prediction Center issues a severe weather risk for your area, which gives the user a lengthy heads-up that severe storms may be an issue later in the day. The alerts are shown in graphical form once you open up the app so that you can see where exactly where you are inside the watch or warning area. The app's simplicity is what caught my attention because users generally don't want to fiddle with complicated setup wizards and a daunting number of customizations. <br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><b>Weather Underground</b> - (Free - <a href="http://itunes.apple.com/us/app/weather-underground/id486154808?mt=8" target="_blank">iPhone</a>/<a href="http://itunes.apple.com/us/app/wundermap/id364884105?mt=8" target="_blank">iPad [WunderMap]</a> and <a href="https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.wunderground.android.weather&hl=en" target="_blank">Android</a>)</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgvkYUYjeNpgsAL6SKbYem6ZLbFxu2q4k-qpovzYQZBzuHlwur3lmM3jT0VjusOaPi790nmbDZ0ViSskQ4qr8iFRkytca3KQYJmWMzJpwrlsu2gMXYG9a1t7-hbfgq3Q2U39tu-snegyzCb/s1600/mzl.iazgklsy.320x480-75.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgvkYUYjeNpgsAL6SKbYem6ZLbFxu2q4k-qpovzYQZBzuHlwur3lmM3jT0VjusOaPi790nmbDZ0ViSskQ4qr8iFRkytca3KQYJmWMzJpwrlsu2gMXYG9a1t7-hbfgq3Q2U39tu-snegyzCb/s200/mzl.iazgklsy.320x480-75.jpg" width="133" /></a><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGau9zr0qQfkMJlAth5b6ZGfYZlkXoUgOcFR61UKOpqie3UtxmDr75CKJrm6AODCMvcTf05j_ZzEzS87E_KTCBgiSavRIBt3s-fQa5PaLT0YKK3EKxBQNQbC7vxLgwWuFPPAlE4XzDFjHt/s1600/mzl.sennqury.100x100-75.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGau9zr0qQfkMJlAth5b6ZGfYZlkXoUgOcFR61UKOpqie3UtxmDr75CKJrm6AODCMvcTf05j_ZzEzS87E_KTCBgiSavRIBt3s-fQa5PaLT0YKK3EKxBQNQbC7vxLgwWuFPPAlE4XzDFjHt/s1600/mzl.sennqury.100x100-75.jpg" /></a><a href="http://www.wunderground.com/download/index.asp" target="_blank">Weather Underground</a> has an impressive app because it leverages a few key features that other general weather apps don't have. Besides displaying a computer-generated for your location and a weather radar, which just about every other major weather app does, Weather Underground's app displays weather observations from their network of over 24,000 personal weather stations around the world. This means that you can get more precise current observations for your location because chances are one of these neighborhood weather stations are closer to you than the official observations. The app also displays live weather webcams from users who have opted to put those online along with their current weather data. Finally, and most impressively for weather geeks, is the ability to listen to live streaming audio from NOAA weather radio stations across the country on the smartphone edition of the app. These audio streams are crowd-sourced much like the observations and webcams, so your mileage may vary with availability of these streams for your area.<br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><b>InstaWeather</b> - (Free/Paid - <a href="https://itunes.apple.com/app/instaweather-free/id564147490?mt=8" target="_blank">iPhone</a> and <a href="https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=air.byss.mobi.instaweatherfree" target="_blank">Android</a>)</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5di0f23F1DGD7QnmvJlADW3kcJdw8wVybgWJAjmv0WQC1q4nCdIEsbUH-Bx3jke74nVlGMQ5SwRpR7SXRFxui7IxADzVQUab44JQL0B2B1dcQzFF9bqxGN_CEpE_ZvAH15FKM9Trrk8Qu/s1600/aero.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><br /></a></div>
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhXaZAYUy2rPXbh48FYNq71Is4g5rEP6HeQEib9-5hSH-BwjlBWmweC4HdTULzxkXmZ84C4jNB2ccRs2dBxj_KVXq8IzulS0NwKrDNVVPMh6HlECTnYWVi19i6E3keW0D9JAoIuA0cf42zp/s1600/mzl.ximtysmb.320x480-75.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhXaZAYUy2rPXbh48FYNq71Is4g5rEP6HeQEib9-5hSH-BwjlBWmweC4HdTULzxkXmZ84C4jNB2ccRs2dBxj_KVXq8IzulS0NwKrDNVVPMh6HlECTnYWVi19i6E3keW0D9JAoIuA0cf42zp/s200/mzl.ximtysmb.320x480-75.jpg" width="112" /></a><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgE5Cf8lbgxpCiKwfYBptPXpu1-q_zl61PWJ1_sRszPZkVg0lmbtx8lD7SOqH82njDfAXd9ON1IqtZVnOu6CQQHqQetICsldGgBwhssoXZisTd_JBG5Waty1lak-kmgx97sb0NmDvqJw8nu/s1600/insta.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgE5Cf8lbgxpCiKwfYBptPXpu1-q_zl61PWJ1_sRszPZkVg0lmbtx8lD7SOqH82njDfAXd9ON1IqtZVnOu6CQQHqQetICsldGgBwhssoXZisTd_JBG5Waty1lak-kmgx97sb0NmDvqJw8nu/s1600/insta.jpg" /></a><a href="http://instaweather.me/" target="_blank">InstaWeather</a> takes posting your weather photos on Instagram to a new level. Using weather observations nearby, InstaWeather overlays on your photo the current temperature, winds, humidity, and more at your location. There are quite a few choices in what kind of data you want to show up on your photo along with multiple styles of how that data is presented. You're not just limited to Instagram with your photos though as the app allows you to post directly to Facebook and Twitter as well as save the photo to your phone's camera roll for further sharing options. The pro version removes ads from the app and mention of the app's name from your photos. While the social weather app field is a crowded one, this app stands out for its simplicity and cool factor.<br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b>mPing</b></span> - (Free - <a href="https://itunes.apple.com/us/app/mping/id584383400?mt=8" target="_blank">iPhone</a> and <a href="https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=edu.ou.cimms.wping&feature=search_result#?t=W251bGwsMSwyLDEsImVkdS5vdS5jaW1tcy53cGluZyJd" target="_blank">Android</a>)</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjxCYEqUUb0X4P6xMUoVRpsNFfKM1VZ4U-nS5hVU3ej6LoE7cqLqOj2sP_QJm7ihNy2dWGkqHmeMwv3wRAVQcLKUBEEDP3yPN-HMniFKDBYx3YHToKnkhrzJFZA1bLXHXmOurRB4YbUdyUz/s1600/ping.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjxCYEqUUb0X4P6xMUoVRpsNFfKM1VZ4U-nS5hVU3ej6LoE7cqLqOj2sP_QJm7ihNy2dWGkqHmeMwv3wRAVQcLKUBEEDP3yPN-HMniFKDBYx3YHToKnkhrzJFZA1bLXHXmOurRB4YbUdyUz/s1600/ping.jpg" /></a></div>
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjPP0HxmHgfFYA0BjwUalQXxOFqKP5feE-dV6wY8NXb8fUEBB40czchvqUodFSezNbCRzJvTeiIoLyemmePn53FBgpJwJSvSwwgAslJkOyMJG0Y0F3BAnJb9ZrdXvBZAz9M4x4xIJCpd16F/s1600/mzl.ylonshtj.320x480-75.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjPP0HxmHgfFYA0BjwUalQXxOFqKP5feE-dV6wY8NXb8fUEBB40czchvqUodFSezNbCRzJvTeiIoLyemmePn53FBgpJwJSvSwwgAslJkOyMJG0Y0F3BAnJb9ZrdXvBZAz9M4x4xIJCpd16F/s200/mzl.ylonshtj.320x480-75.jpg" width="133" /></a><a href="http://instaweather.me/" target="_blank">mPing</a> is the mobile version of the National Severe Storms Laboratory's PING Project. This project seeks to create algorithms that will better identify what kind of precipitation is falling in your neighborhood based on model data, radar data, and civilian reports. That's where you come in! This app allows you to report what kind of precipitation you're seeing at your location (rain, sleet, snow, etc) so that NSSL can bundle your report to the data that they have. The hope is that the end result of this project will be a radar product that will allow you to see exactly where sleet, snow, rain, hail, and other types of precipitation are falling instead of the loose rain/snow/mix algorithms (AKA the green, white, and pink that you see on TV radar displays) that are used now. Help the future of meteorology by sending in your reports!<br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><b>Soundings Mobile -</b> (<a href="http://itunes.apple.com/us/app/soundings-mobile/id490267314?mt=8" target="_blank">iPhone/iPad</a>)</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiV_FV4_1D7HijyVZHL_Nh4Qf-YZpXcK58F1FccrxlVuv8jGi17qac9YZ0lr5nwQV-fMDvL4U4CTmHN0cJ1VgqXMf0bbP0XsAMuVGrxhn4lvpXsLR0MoCfWH3nnQWgKV087C7F_T85r8xXv/s1600/mzl.ckpkyclq.100x100-75.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiV_FV4_1D7HijyVZHL_Nh4Qf-YZpXcK58F1FccrxlVuv8jGi17qac9YZ0lr5nwQV-fMDvL4U4CTmHN0cJ1VgqXMf0bbP0XsAMuVGrxhn4lvpXsLR0MoCfWH3nnQWgKV087C7F_T85r8xXv/s1600/mzl.ckpkyclq.100x100-75.jpg" /></a></div>
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEir3u5HPdpFuI_ZUp2tZOnK55Eih7KJE7aylh01TiFbSAFOhYPptnd-_DFiztkim3hDew9IUT2pVedCm5YVbaWm-XHfPm8bbYx1YuSKS00DMf1Xfmjh9i6xaXgi1a0kWlUI8SOeRRgn376c/s1600/mzl.bqxtmshf.320x480-75.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEir3u5HPdpFuI_ZUp2tZOnK55Eih7KJE7aylh01TiFbSAFOhYPptnd-_DFiztkim3hDew9IUT2pVedCm5YVbaWm-XHfPm8bbYx1YuSKS00DMf1Xfmjh9i6xaXgi1a0kWlUI8SOeRRgn376c/s200/mzl.bqxtmshf.320x480-75.jpg" width="133" /></a><a href="http://www.weatherwary.com/apps/soundings/" target="_blank">Soundings Mobile</a> is an app that is mainly aimed at die-hard weather enthusiasts, meteorologists, and storm chasers. This app allows for viewing of both observed and forecast atmospheric soundings at any location where the National Weather Service sends up daily weather balloons. This app displays Skew-Ts and hodographs and even shows a box of stats like CAPE, CIN, LCL, etc that you would find at the bottom of most sounding output pages online. The intriguing thing about this app is that the soundings displayed are not images ripped from the SPC or another online source but rather rendered on the device from the raw data. This means that you can zoom in on and manipulate the sounding without distorting the quality of what you're looking at. This app is great on the iPad but performs well on the iPhone too with an interface adapted for the smaller screen size.<br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><b>WeatherGeek Pro</b> - (<a href="http://itunes.apple.com/us/app/weathergeek-pro/id416571494?mt=8&ls=1" target="_blank">iPhone/iPad</a> and <a href="https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.weathergeekpro" target="_blank">Android</a>)</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKD9zHMQmstRm9TGcPInbz5w-3vk9CCpedwiFApkZm8SV0R60gO0upfBPZVOUrEfoJXXtP6KlutqIm6a9sJP0NEAbODLMzyDGm6VoTcXjL9hUYo0t3V5FtGreRFKZvigFiqhz0C-4Ctb15/s1600/mzl.dcqidbtd.320x480-75.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKD9zHMQmstRm9TGcPInbz5w-3vk9CCpedwiFApkZm8SV0R60gO0upfBPZVOUrEfoJXXtP6KlutqIm6a9sJP0NEAbODLMzyDGm6VoTcXjL9hUYo0t3V5FtGreRFKZvigFiqhz0C-4Ctb15/s200/mzl.dcqidbtd.320x480-75.jpg" width="133" /></a></div>
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjch2PPLDilt1gg2z7i9U8wR8ZBbbwo_9BTNoT3MS5apy9-OSXjrXbjfdvF7qc-SNqs9J0ckyUckzlA7_qxVH4w7oSbQn7aT698zsNVRxdNXBfXRqDBlNF_sG02nvFMYE4kyILnUhmX3ANj/s1600/mzl.mjqbeogp.100x100-75.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjch2PPLDilt1gg2z7i9U8wR8ZBbbwo_9BTNoT3MS5apy9-OSXjrXbjfdvF7qc-SNqs9J0ckyUckzlA7_qxVH4w7oSbQn7aT698zsNVRxdNXBfXRqDBlNF_sG02nvFMYE4kyILnUhmX3ANj/s1600/mzl.mjqbeogp.100x100-75.jpg" /></a><a href="http://weathergeekpro.com/" target="_blank">WeatherGeek Pro</a> is for, well, weather geeks! It is a fairly simple forecast model viewing app that displays output from the GFS, NAM, SREF, WRF, RAP, and other models. As an added "bonus", you can view MOS output for any location within the app. This is a great app if you need to keep up with the latest model runs without the added frustration of navigating NCEP's website on a small screen. The app now has items that you can buy within the program with like ECMWF model viewing and additions map views for certain models. This is not an app I'd recommend unless you have some experience with weather models and forecasting.<br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><b>Ae<span style="font-size: large;">roWeather</span></b> - (</span><span style="font-size: large;">Free/Paid - <a href="https://itunes.apple.com/app/aeroweather-lite/id288286079?ign-mpt=uo%3D6&mt=8" target="_blank">iPhone/iPad</a>)</span>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKD9zHMQmstRm9TGcPInbz5w-3vk9CCpedwiFApkZm8SV0R60gO0upfBPZVOUrEfoJXXtP6KlutqIm6a9sJP0NEAbODLMzyDGm6VoTcXjL9hUYo0t3V5FtGreRFKZvigFiqhz0C-4Ctb15/s1600/mzl.dcqidbtd.320x480-75.jpg" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5di0f23F1DGD7QnmvJlADW3kcJdw8wVybgWJAjmv0WQC1q4nCdIEsbUH-Bx3jke74nVlGMQ5SwRpR7SXRFxui7IxADzVQUab44JQL0B2B1dcQzFF9bqxGN_CEpE_ZvAH15FKM9Trrk8Qu/s1600/aero.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5di0f23F1DGD7QnmvJlADW3kcJdw8wVybgWJAjmv0WQC1q4nCdIEsbUH-Bx3jke74nVlGMQ5SwRpR7SXRFxui7IxADzVQUab44JQL0B2B1dcQzFF9bqxGN_CEpE_ZvAH15FKM9Trrk8Qu/s1600/aero.jpg" /></a></div>
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg6raT9A5HynBzuepOPe7mteJOfGQuOl5TILmjlM5uDx8T_YdKcUB_807UTfeO-s_U3x_5huAdtW67FHHKlUDwFSc1_TWTYw1ouz-fOQMqIr3ira5HQV9-kc4qbQ5VZS54vYllFQhFto3Ge/s1600/mzl.gvysqwhu.320x480-75.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg6raT9A5HynBzuepOPe7mteJOfGQuOl5TILmjlM5uDx8T_YdKcUB_807UTfeO-s_U3x_5huAdtW67FHHKlUDwFSc1_TWTYw1ouz-fOQMqIr3ira5HQV9-kc4qbQ5VZS54vYllFQhFto3Ge/s200/mzl.gvysqwhu.320x480-75.jpg" width="112" /></a><a href="http://www.aeroweather.ch/" target="_blank">AeroWeather</a> makes it easy to keep up with your favorite METAR sites and the TAF forecasts for them. While these products are aimed at aviation they are useful to any meteorologist or weather geek looking for raw METAR data. An example of when I use this app the most is during winter weather events with mixed precipitation types. At a glance you're able to see exactly who's reporting snow, who has freezing rain, and who is seeing sleet. The free version of this app displays the surface observations and their TAFs while the paid version expands upon that with radar images, webcams, and further airport information for pilots.<br />
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<i><b>These are eight apps that I use frequently, but this doesn't mean that there aren't other good ones out there. Leave a comment on this post with your favorite weather apps!</b></i><br />
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">(Disclaimer: I did not receive compensation for or was asked to post this list of apps. These apps are merely ones that I use and enjoy personally and I receive no financial incentive for mentioning them on this blog.) </span>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-59247912933229240432013-01-23T19:17:00.000-06:002013-01-23T19:20:59.061-06:001/23 - 7:15pm - Rainy End to the Week, Nice Weekend!<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: right; margin-left: 1em; text-align: right;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhEbKWw0bgfCeTm68X5nTWw1lxHtPOkWwwQEYoMgOJg8l9MZgsDqROUfZ_uEgOvFVZ3Yzi8ZZ_juYjJXsexPLfhPhVtT4pEkV3cGVmgWxGUxDQeAyjTdvY3HSy6C5YGHndrMMgcw70aA6c6/s1600/infrared.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="150" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhEbKWw0bgfCeTm68X5nTWw1lxHtPOkWwwQEYoMgOJg8l9MZgsDqROUfZ_uEgOvFVZ3Yzi8ZZ_juYjJXsexPLfhPhVtT4pEkV3cGVmgWxGUxDQeAyjTdvY3HSy6C5YGHndrMMgcw70aA6c6/s200/infrared.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Tonight's low clouds aren't showing up well<br />on infrared satellite imagery.</td></tr>
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After an evening of cool temperatures and a few clouds we'll be seeing a few rain showers setting in for the morning hours across the Golden Triangle and North Mississippi. These showers will be in advance of our next system that will bring us appreciable rain on Friday. But, how about the weekend? After this system moves out we'll have slightly cooler temperatures but at least the sunshine will be out in full force on Saturday. Temperatures will warm a bit for Sunday before we see more rain just in time for the new work week. Your full forecast is available in the CampusConnect video below!<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="449" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/zha2yzuJrJ8?rel=0" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-2844682053503165692013-01-20T14:47:00.003-06:002013-01-20T14:49:20.222-06:001/20 - 2:45pm - Bitter Cold Air is Arriving Soon!<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXxF_mOrx_U2IcIApNNd4Rs4Z-XzZ2bEhBQzEQPi_8Ao-stVhXG43pFHca3YvzzcOTyjvZQENz4_nJ5eWplHBCkvcWfmPCYaNua0cDPQjtKwfPjW7HGtpqaAZg_gWkJVa-XIo02o9jMhmq/s1600/90fwbg.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXxF_mOrx_U2IcIApNNd4Rs4Z-XzZ2bEhBQzEQPi_8Ao-stVhXG43pFHca3YvzzcOTyjvZQENz4_nJ5eWplHBCkvcWfmPCYaNua0cDPQjtKwfPjW7HGtpqaAZg_gWkJVa-XIo02o9jMhmq/s1600/90fwbg.jpg" /></a>Temperatures in the 30's were common last night in West Tennessee and North Mississippi but temperatures are poised to drop much further than that tonight. A dry and relatively marginal cold front is moving through West Tennessee right now and that cold front is the first of two cold shots for the region. This will put lows down into the mid 20's in West Tennessee and lower to mid 30's in North Mississippi as cold air pours in behind the front. This cold air won't allow temperatures to rise much during the day tomorrow either, with highs in the upper 30's closer to Jackson, TN and closer to 50 down toward the Golden Triangle in Mississippi.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjOQZObDV7Wk5yKSY5PnQkGkHMO7Vy-rDs-3eJRxUhadoyl5et9kIdXqqn9ymOyWrfFdp9dw5G5ErQUm503x50FSFwL1yxURo8C5Gf15otKH1ro01WDinz4wR7qG4W7sFyKy176d7T99QpO/s1600/Explainermain.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjOQZObDV7Wk5yKSY5PnQkGkHMO7Vy-rDs-3eJRxUhadoyl5et9kIdXqqn9ymOyWrfFdp9dw5G5ErQUm503x50FSFwL1yxURo8C5Gf15otKH1ro01WDinz4wR7qG4W7sFyKy176d7T99QpO/s320/Explainermain.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
During the day tomorrow the second of two shots of cold air will pour in as another cold front passes by. This one will bring the über cold weather that we'll see on Monday night and Tuesday morning. The winds behind this front will be out of the north, meaning the source region (AKA where the air is coming from) for the cold air we'll see during this time will be in the Upper Midwest where they'll be below zero. While that kind of cold isn't expected, mid to upper teens will be common in West Tennessee with readings closer to 20 or 25 degrees down toward North Mississippi. A low of 16 or 17 degrees in Jackson, TN on Tuesday morning looks pretty reasonable given the intensity of the cold air spilling down. While our neighbors to the north may scoff at this being branded as "bitterly cold" in the South, this is still some incredibly cold air. Pets will certainly need to be inside during this time and people need to be bundled up as much as possible. Limit your time outside on Tuesday morning, if possible, and be sure to cover any exposed skin if you do have to be out. Temperatures during the day on Tuesday will warm to a more reasonable lower 30's in West Tennessee and lower 40's in North Mississippi.<br />
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Temperatures will moderate during the week thanks to the return of wind flow from the south. This return flow means more moisture in the air across the region. You might guess that this warmer air and more moisture will eventually lead to rain chances... and you'd be right! A low pressure system and associated upper-level shortwave disturbance will track through near the end of the week, bringing rain chances. There's some disagreement between various models over whether this will start on Thursday or Friday. The GFS model's timeline on this is posted below. My guess at this point is that the timeline you see below will be delayed by about 12 hours, so expect rain chances to creep into the region ahead of this low on Thursday afternoon and continue through the night into Friday.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZjOYFWrBfwQysyUuaZYp_qWBNAWO5mWfYhBxINSvfd98JMzGlEotWe9xYOegLbWM4dUrisaXG7UhpDHZraVOwfVWvz1uFiJcZc40vNFQ808H9dd2TGmOlRXbRI6XZ8axxPA8cy3W_Ml1l/s1600/gfs.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="145" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZjOYFWrBfwQysyUuaZYp_qWBNAWO5mWfYhBxINSvfd98JMzGlEotWe9xYOegLbWM4dUrisaXG7UhpDHZraVOwfVWvz1uFiJcZc40vNFQ808H9dd2TGmOlRXbRI6XZ8axxPA8cy3W_Ml1l/s400/gfs.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgW6Y_-JHB1Qscb8mm2KZWHczeHzLymeBSjCschOiXofph6i76wP8r20CQak1GCxpV_qOAm-JDmjPg2eUTfjXBRuq2FIXYP-GV2MtaBqk-UyC_WGKGl3xP6WKZx5POiKcIbZVTtJDYjTc1p/s1600/rainsnow.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="154" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgW6Y_-JHB1Qscb8mm2KZWHczeHzLymeBSjCschOiXofph6i76wP8r20CQak1GCxpV_qOAm-JDmjPg2eUTfjXBRuq2FIXYP-GV2MtaBqk-UyC_WGKGl3xP6WKZx5POiKcIbZVTtJDYjTc1p/s200/rainsnow.jpg" width="200" /></a>It's not out of the realm of possibility that a little bit of wintry precipitation may fall on the backside of this system on Friday. If cold air flows in behind a cold front associated with this system fast enough then some of the last few rain showers could mix with or change over to a brief period of snow. The GFS identifies Kentuckiana as being the prime target for this but we all know that model has been trending too warm lately in all the winter weather events we've dealt with. So in my mind, West Tennessee is in a potential area for this mix or snow switchover to occur. We're too early for specifics on this so the forecast will have to be fine-tuned during the week. Stay warm!Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-22523563821085304192013-01-15T20:00:00.001-06:002013-01-15T20:20:22.315-06:001/15 - 8pm - Just Plain Rain for Starkville, but Snow Later?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjKypoXlKhgo4o1LPxL31YsG8i0Dye8NvPSKA1CAy-pBbO_n2e73OQV7uzT-DxFcfbgHwZb0b1lPunpnpLTa7YPNSYewmU6w89-5HZoqYH0STLllV-FcT4OdzXeIRTGIO_8b3PNDrUsSR0c/s1600/rad.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="130" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjKypoXlKhgo4o1LPxL31YsG8i0Dye8NvPSKA1CAy-pBbO_n2e73OQV7uzT-DxFcfbgHwZb0b1lPunpnpLTa7YPNSYewmU6w89-5HZoqYH0STLllV-FcT4OdzXeIRTGIO_8b3PNDrUsSR0c/s200/rad.png" width="200" /></a></div>
While the Delta region has been plagued by an ice storm yesterday and today we've been lucky enough here in Starkville to just be experiencing plain rain and temperatures above freezing. It's 35 degrees in Starkville right now and it still looks like we'll keep above freezing for the remainder of the overnight hours. A Flash Flood Watch is still in effect through late tonight for the area due to all the heavy rain we've had. As this rain begins to move out tomorrow evening there's a chance that some of this could as snow. It's not real clear who will get the most snow and how much, but there's at least some potential for light snow as we go through Wednesday night into Thursday morning. That forecast will continue to be fine-tuned throughout the day tomorrow. Check out my video below for all you need to plan your week!<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" frameborder="0" height="449" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/77Fksbt86a0?rel=0" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-34479637602466933632013-01-10T20:13:00.002-06:002013-01-10T20:13:30.758-06:001/10 - 8:30pm - Tape TimeHappy New Year! I just got finished editing together my first professional weather resume tape. Well, it's not really a tape but that's what it's still called in the industry since tapes are a relic of the not-too-distant past. It's hard to believe that I've been doing weather on TV now for nearly two-and-a-half years. Time flies when you're having fun! <br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" frameborder="0" height="336" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/qIzxVS4WZj0?rel=0" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-60759858081283706962012-12-30T19:02:00.000-06:002012-12-30T19:02:44.678-06:0012/30 - 8pm - Anyone Up for a Third Round of Wintry Weather?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhPCciZQB6B_QjUghHXuQMDwesyZssWZYfILIhdtmGhRaYpNILQaAxWIQ6b-dIkW9vGpYMQxgoAjKOrAoLPkDw_gxbKQPW8t5Jnzu7_L26nkp8wX3kbWy5nLNkeTNXVxEIcBSWLDI2EO2_5/s1600/moisture.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhPCciZQB6B_QjUghHXuQMDwesyZssWZYfILIhdtmGhRaYpNILQaAxWIQ6b-dIkW9vGpYMQxgoAjKOrAoLPkDw_gxbKQPW8t5Jnzu7_L26nkp8wX3kbWy5nLNkeTNXVxEIcBSWLDI2EO2_5/s320/moisture.jpg" width="320" /></a>With two winter weather events within a week's time in the books for Kentuckiana, it's apparently time for a third! Unfortunately the timing for this one is pretty bad. Just as folks are going home from New Year's parties in the early hours of Tuesday morning we could have snow, sleet, or even freezing rain falling in the region. The good news here is that regardless of what falls from the sky, there won't be much of it. Precipitation amounts will remain light since heavy rain and storms in the South will be stealing our moisture here up north in Kentucky and Indiana during the time of the event. As far as timing goes, a few snow showers will move through tomorrow afternoon as this system begins to move toward us. Going into the evening is when things get tricky.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEivo7D-CPVi3x6tidT7NAIvTaYtJP6zEjkSF-Fznd3ATJIfIvLphZZgGEbVolMt-MpfjQMoQRdyRF8M_krISxWFJSTxK78UJ56RcV2Ek6MhRIN3sDTCNVvW1f2Ihqw80nSUsd23xe_XCoYK/s1600/bufcompare.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="158" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEivo7D-CPVi3x6tidT7NAIvTaYtJP6zEjkSF-Fznd3ATJIfIvLphZZgGEbVolMt-MpfjQMoQRdyRF8M_krISxWFJSTxK78UJ56RcV2Ek6MhRIN3sDTCNVvW1f2Ihqw80nSUsd23xe_XCoYK/s320/bufcompare.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCpEqv-GwwvFu96oOyVRe9ZSnRoZG-7Xhp9lW0K4nQMENziZYC7YnFrGKT3Hig91sAWAgA6kAkuj-ipovzRbGnVQ57KsZXWPSXWbYWAFww2WiQvY53g-5Vdpdfh1EvRnVxaKef9rwQHScm/s1600/US.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="130" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCpEqv-GwwvFu96oOyVRe9ZSnRoZG-7Xhp9lW0K4nQMENziZYC7YnFrGKT3Hig91sAWAgA6kAkuj-ipovzRbGnVQ57KsZXWPSXWbYWAFww2WiQvY53g-5Vdpdfh1EvRnVxaKef9rwQHScm/s200/US.jpg" width="200" /></a>As a weak area of low pressure continues to approach we'll see some warming aloft out ahead of it. This warming has the potential to turn our falling snow into sleet or even freezing rain. The GFS is leading the charge at the moment on the potential for freezing rain in Louisville as it has a layer above freezing from 4,000 to 7,000 feet at 4am on Tuesday morning that would support freezing rain. The NAM model keeps us all snow with the entire atmosphere being below freezing. Given that the models have overestimated temperatures aloft with the past two snowstorms we've seen lately, I'm inclined to think that Louisville will stay mostly or all snow. Another thing to focus on will be surface temperatures. Should they be just below freezing this snow, sleet, or freezing rain will stick to the roads and make for tricky travel on late Monday night. If they're just above freezing then only expect to see accumulation on the grass and elevated surfaces. We do have a bit of snowcover in Louisville now, so that might lean us more in the direction of below freezing instead of above for this event overnight Monday into Tuesday. We're going to be awfully close to freezing for much of the night regardless. Areas north of the city will likely stay all snow and below freezing while those areas to the south will see a wintry mix and temperatures just above freezing until the early morning hours. National Weather Service offices across the Plains have issued Winter Weather Advisories due to this system, in purple on the image to the left, but uncertainty about precipitation type and amounts in the Ohio Valley has NWS Louisville waiting for more agreement before they issue any advisories.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9Wpf58qk4abpTGRQq5FYBnjE2NKLWRu47lmojRAcIzwPXoLkD5yyrOjko5pMPNgj9Q5TTaxubMv2R-mKruPjxFqumG_P0VzUGqZZ4G2Jp5a9Wv1zTl3lAHe6uL58O4UoWooK7F7Pp32JW/s1600/nam.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="291" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9Wpf58qk4abpTGRQq5FYBnjE2NKLWRu47lmojRAcIzwPXoLkD5yyrOjko5pMPNgj9Q5TTaxubMv2R-mKruPjxFqumG_P0VzUGqZZ4G2Jp5a9Wv1zTl3lAHe6uL58O4UoWooK7F7Pp32JW/s320/nam.jpg" width="320" /></a>Like I said before, accumulations are going to be light for this event. The NAM (right) has up to an inch of snow in many areas and the GFS model has been a little more optimistic at times today with 1-3" across the area. Like the last two snow events, I'm thinking that the amount of precipitation being put out on the models will adjust upward a bit as we get closer to time (tonight and tomorrow morning). Given the trends I'm seeing right now I think we'll see <b>1-2" of snow in portions of Louisville and points northward </b>with up to an inch of snow and mixed precipitation to the south. Once again... grumble grumble grumble... Louisville is right on the line between feast and famine with the snow. Southern Indiana has been the big winner with snow over the past week while folks south of the Ohio River are raising their hands in favor of more. That is, if you're a snow lover of course. So, we'll be looking to see over the next few hours how the models handle the amount of precipitation forecast, and temperatures both aloft and at the surface. Shifts in these could mean some significant changes to the forecast for many areas!Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-65738168759934569572012-12-28T00:34:00.000-06:002012-12-28T00:36:46.991-06:0012/28 - 1:30am EST - Kentuckiana Winter Storm Number 2<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjK2eaBWMtcpbmKFPd6dW4ixZjgLkNoOYNzb0-Vb1FXvdAJkn9Nr6nl6y7-nNWMVRT0Q7kryhjqpT8gG34ah9AIRPj3egnrePrhLlLidWoyn2P5zZkDUzOl9ztZWIs-eQYsSeEm8fGMNeRL/s1600/snowfall.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjK2eaBWMtcpbmKFPd6dW4ixZjgLkNoOYNzb0-Vb1FXvdAJkn9Nr6nl6y7-nNWMVRT0Q7kryhjqpT8gG34ah9AIRPj3egnrePrhLlLidWoyn2P5zZkDUzOl9ztZWIs-eQYsSeEm8fGMNeRL/s200/snowfall.png" width="199" /></a>Wednesday's winter storm didn't give much snow to folks in the Louisville area and instead confined heavy snow to areas of Southern Indiana. While differences in the models did exist over whether Louisville would get any accumulating snow or not, the overall situation was handled pretty well from a forecast standpoint. The highest snow report in NWS Louisville's coverage area was 7.2 inches in Washington County, IN while Louisville received a trace to a half inch.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhF448zmKZctQN5670Q8I4LUzROJmmcQnVfNZB8wuFaFcMNGxd2mOsFVUQhQhj2wyEO1fP98x4az0ciji5l-0MXEsZby7IiVHyjyxVXma8SA9-toskq_q2eNXAveguXJ-tDLVFf5jqOhByW/s1600/explainermodels.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhF448zmKZctQN5670Q8I4LUzROJmmcQnVfNZB8wuFaFcMNGxd2mOsFVUQhQhj2wyEO1fP98x4az0ciji5l-0MXEsZby7IiVHyjyxVXma8SA9-toskq_q2eNXAveguXJ-tDLVFf5jqOhByW/s320/explainermodels.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
The next storm on the heels of the last one is less than 24 hours away as a system arrives from the southwest and stays to our southeast as it moves through the region. This will start as some rain for the Louisville area but as colder air filters in we'll switch over to snow during the later evening hours. This exact time for switchover depends on how warm we get during the day tomorrow (lower 40's versus upper 30's makes a difference!) and how fast the cold air comes in. The 0z NAM that came in earlier tonight has about 3" for the city and after comparing this with other models I'm thinking this may be a number we'll see most commonly reported by Saturday morning in Louisville. Higher totals will be possible just a bit further north from Louisville.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhN7sVbiiJw0hrhrfRiXKjvXLAO9ibWilvBXDlwGrFMhscf_dYAp4rbg2-Y4vo4I2RE2k9Khyphenhyphen8IDzibDAOAyIqRj6Pl78RsbXgJveuxjgdPZJhBkbhBRTBR0Xt4kkt-WehBiyierADV0aXC/s1600/hmmmmmm.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="150" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhN7sVbiiJw0hrhrfRiXKjvXLAO9ibWilvBXDlwGrFMhscf_dYAp4rbg2-Y4vo4I2RE2k9Khyphenhyphen8IDzibDAOAyIqRj6Pl78RsbXgJveuxjgdPZJhBkbhBRTBR0Xt4kkt-WehBiyierADV0aXC/s200/hmmmmmm.png" width="200" /></a></div>
But even as I say this there's a small fly in the ointment. The 3z RPM model is in and it has the possibility of 4-6" of snow just due east of the city and a few very small totals like this scattered throughout areas near the Ohio River. This suggests that totals closer to 4" might be more widespread than previously thought. You can click the RPM output on the left for a larger view. We've seen the trend of increasing snow totals today on the models and this run of the RPM just continues this. We'll need to watch for this trend tomorrow morning to see if other models catch on. Right now this isn't really a factor in my forecast since it's just one model. Below is my snow forecast map for the region. Realize that, like the last storm, a small shift in track or more/less cold air will change things for some folks drastically.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSYsOmXXUOhMAR6RLl1hztJg_YDr55jEh_bCw3UnbLBYSfPnYZnZX6ZDYesWLs73ZX0_yd-Lm_QZyIwz4mn_1W_sJj6wBYHTabqJ0u9zZO1encvGngV8eNKOWJZI4Gd9yjCBy49aDQECRb/s1600/snow.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="222" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSYsOmXXUOhMAR6RLl1hztJg_YDr55jEh_bCw3UnbLBYSfPnYZnZX6ZDYesWLs73ZX0_yd-Lm_QZyIwz4mn_1W_sJj6wBYHTabqJ0u9zZO1encvGngV8eNKOWJZI4Gd9yjCBy49aDQECRb/s400/snow.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiyP8RkUWij3GgMrTaiDJzwVgg20xkCd5jUkfIxDIIgePEqZDnQ5FivzaARBsN5OMOq5uKFLrTNOGp0G5eYZC57oNsyN6mSw-biRy4cH4FDiejwxUUZGtrMh9iNMYvRy2FSvavVhxefB44P/s1600/day2_psnow_gt_04.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="170" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiyP8RkUWij3GgMrTaiDJzwVgg20xkCd5jUkfIxDIIgePEqZDnQ5FivzaARBsN5OMOq5uKFLrTNOGp0G5eYZC57oNsyN6mSw-biRy4cH4FDiejwxUUZGtrMh9iNMYvRy2FSvavVhxefB44P/s200/day2_psnow_gt_04.jpg" width="200" /></a>Also worth noting is that the Hyrdrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC) has us in a Slight Risk of a 4" snowfall (think of this like the Slight, Moderate, and High severe weather risks) while areas closer to Cincinnati are in a Moderate Risk. Expect to see Winter Weather Advisories being issued tomorrow for portions of Kentuckiana. There may also be a few Winter Storm Watches issued as well depending on if forecast amounts of 4" or more look to be more widespread. <b>You can keep up with the latest on this storm tomorrow by following me on <a href="http://twitter.com/ryanhoke" target="_blank">Twitter</a> and <a href="http://facebook.com/hokeywx" target="_blank">Facebook</a>.</b> Good luck, snow lovers!Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-89909628412357379402012-12-21T12:58:00.001-06:002012-12-21T13:24:01.041-06:0012/21 - 2pm - I'm Dreaming of a White (Day After) Christmas<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: right;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiN5BJmTZwqG98dNpwNop5WL0rI632MRxUW9pS1vu0Vc06BNyMzCJl2MRu6WgvzjPRnf4V9TKj-lK0442Lf-QVAdZRfRG51Jibu0tam6siPlhvxqUV5j6RoOPTlgwrTecZ0R6iop599s5Ns/s1024/Photo%252520Dec%25252021%25252C%2525202012%25252C%25252010%25253A38%252520AM.jpg" target="_blank" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiN5BJmTZwqG98dNpwNop5WL0rI632MRxUW9pS1vu0Vc06BNyMzCJl2MRu6WgvzjPRnf4V9TKj-lK0442Lf-QVAdZRfRG51Jibu0tam6siPlhvxqUV5j6RoOPTlgwrTecZ0R6iop599s5Ns/s500/Photo%252520Dec%25252021%25252C%2525202012%25252C%25252010%25253A38%252520AM.jpg" id="blogsy-1356117796864.6548" class="alignright" alt="" width="300" height="225"></a></div>
How about that snow last night around Kentuckiana? Most places saw a dusting but areas in Southern Indiana near Orange County picked up about 3 inches since a snow band set up there for a few hours during the overnight. Here at my house in Southeast Louisville we picked up a dusting of snow that blew around a bit in the wind. Temperatures today aren't going to make it out of the mid 30's in Louisville today thanks to the cold air behind the front that passed through yesterday. Seems appropriate given that it's the first day of winter! <br/><br/><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhIerVJSIkeY3z6lATkiGgkqIwPuMeDTWkoaeWSaW71K2AkFVmKmICb0XVhkXVSKuSdJ1f2wvlUz4nIputw7Xo0wi6QyCE7R4wwFxDOZzR1e8HTu24ja25hcGO_7tSm98pwlFn1srEDWRBk/s480/Photo%252520Dec%25252021%25252C%2525202012%25252C%2525201%25253A49%252520PM.jpg" target="_blank" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhIerVJSIkeY3z6lATkiGgkqIwPuMeDTWkoaeWSaW71K2AkFVmKmICb0XVhkXVSKuSdJ1f2wvlUz4nIputw7Xo0wi6QyCE7R4wwFxDOZzR1e8HTu24ja25hcGO_7tSm98pwlFn1srEDWRBk/s480/Photo%252520Dec%25252021%25252C%2525202012%25252C%2525201%25253A49%252520PM.jpg" id="blogsy-1356117796857.7195" class="alignleft" alt="" width="264" height="210"></a></div>
Temperatures will moderate for the weekend with southerly flow returning but an area of low pressure moving through will bring rain and even warmer temperatures for Christmas Eve. Booooo! Luckily Christmas Day isn't looking like a washout with just a few clouds and highs in the lower 40's. That's a different story further South in Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia where rain will be setting up. <br/><br/>Now... onto the fun part. Over the past couple of days the forecast models have been jumping onto the idea of an area of low pressure moving from the Gulf states to the western side of the Appalachian Mountains the day after Christmas. This is concerning because this track favors a snow event for Kentuckiana and even some of West Tennessee. You need to be on the north and west side of these low pressure systems if you want to see some snow since that's where the cold air is confined to. The past few systems we've been on the south and east sides of the lows moving though so that has meant thunderstorms and warm weather lately. <br/><br/><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhKtFVU3XwjE_LMVgaggZi4v37gyOtPSmUfJieQnBiDX_mCrAF0RgEBHkDxgO_UYqc1yInhrQQ2niT4KvALNqYfyspkcGeGwNpUQKgSSQEjhVSO7_D9-kwkpkj9sQBABCli2jPkSYnmRjQX/s1023/Photo%252520Dec%25252021%25252C%2525202012%25252C%25252012%25253A23%252520PM.jpg" target="_blank" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhKtFVU3XwjE_LMVgaggZi4v37gyOtPSmUfJieQnBiDX_mCrAF0RgEBHkDxgO_UYqc1yInhrQQ2niT4KvALNqYfyspkcGeGwNpUQKgSSQEjhVSO7_D9-kwkpkj9sQBABCli2jPkSYnmRjQX/s500/Photo%252520Dec%25252021%25252C%2525202012%25252C%25252012%25253A23%252520PM.jpg" id="blogsy-1356117796926.843" class="alignleft" alt="" width="263" height="351"></a></div>
The latest 3 runs of the GFS for this particular post-Christmas storm have been fairly consistent with the low track, which is good! The problem has been that there's been trouble determining how much cold air there will be to work with and how strong/large the low moving through will be. These issues have affected how much snow the Louisville area gets. The graphic on the left is a comparison of the last 3 runs of the GFS for December 26th. For entertainment purposes only, the 0z run had just shy of 8" of snow for Louisville, the 6z had about 3", and the 12z had around 2.5". It is still way, way too far out for specific totals and to worry about the cold air issues yet since things will change likely on the models between now and then. I will say though that the 6 and 12z runs seemed to have difficulty keeping the low as a single, compact system once it matured and instead wanted to go with an elongated large low that tries to interact with another low that develops east of the Appalachians. I've seen this kind of thing happen on the GFS earlier this year with the Nor'easters that we had. Eventually, based on what happened with these Nor'easters, these elongated lows should give way to more concentrated, compact lows on the GFS as we get closer to the actual event. This should help to clear up some of the murkiness with the cold air issues too.<br/><br/><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: right;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiTJz7BPIN8si5tk_cAZmaTi6Z7VaphJhNy49fF8VIMUDle8ws94_CbQyHBds3hWKdhh4-tNPyAazpmefpCCPR8OzvU9OlTFW0FQ8j3kD_iYWIlHRxzOUXpXrf5yjE1GeMZmw_Tppd992xl/s1024/Photo%252520Dec%25252021%25252C%2525202012%25252C%25252012%25253A28%252520PM.jpg" target="_blank" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiTJz7BPIN8si5tk_cAZmaTi6Z7VaphJhNy49fF8VIMUDle8ws94_CbQyHBds3hWKdhh4-tNPyAazpmefpCCPR8OzvU9OlTFW0FQ8j3kD_iYWIlHRxzOUXpXrf5yjE1GeMZmw_Tppd992xl/s500/Photo%252520Dec%25252021%25252C%2525202012%25252C%25252012%25253A28%252520PM.jpg" id="blogsy-1356117796860.3596" class="alignright" alt="" width="273" height="195"></a></div>
The Euro has been fairly consistent with the track of the low as the GFS has been, but has also experienced a few issues of its own like the GFS. Yesterday's 12z run of the Euro had a blockbuster snow event in the Louisville area while the 0z last night backed off on that prospect thanks to, you guessed it, a more elongated low and trouble with cold air. I can't post the precipitation output from the Euro model since it's behind a paywall and copyrighted, but I can at least show you what the 0z run did with the low after it moved through. Lots and lots of cold air will be behind this system if you couldn't tell by the deep blues and purples on the map!<br/><br/><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjiH53BdJ5qfLtTdn7y1kONFK3Q4dEYFWZB2rzUfyLo_OFocbkifq9DeoOvtTwGoS_GVUcwNlIBq6eEguI7jZpo_TXXtDDD9xE7BY7z7kzzVMNsBlVHeKGu5oR532s96_uyGtDHqGNGSlgl/s1024/Photo%252520Dec%25252021%25252C%2525202012%25252C%2525202%25253A16%252520PM.jpg" target="_blank" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjiH53BdJ5qfLtTdn7y1kONFK3Q4dEYFWZB2rzUfyLo_OFocbkifq9DeoOvtTwGoS_GVUcwNlIBq6eEguI7jZpo_TXXtDDD9xE7BY7z7kzzVMNsBlVHeKGu5oR532s96_uyGtDHqGNGSlgl/s500/Photo%252520Dec%25252021%25252C%2525202012%25252C%2525202%25253A16%252520PM.jpg" id="blogsy-1356117796844.1213" class="alignleft" alt="" width="272" height="194"></a></div>
<strong>UPDATE 2:20pm - Today's 12z Euro model run is in and it has a blockbuster storm track for snow for us here in Kentuckiana and West Tennessee. That is quite a strong low in East Tennessee on the left-hand map compared to previous runs. Sheesh.</strong><br/><br/>The CMC and the JMA, which are the Canadian and Japanese models, aren't worth showing here right now. The CMC has the storm running off the east coast and the JMA has a nice low track for some snow in Louisville. It's worth noting that this system might disappear all together on the models or make a radical change. It's still too far out for much certainty. <br/><br/><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(26, 26, 26, 0.296875); -webkit-composition-fill-color: rgba(175, 192, 227, 0.230469); -webkit-composition-frame-color: rgba(77, 128, 180, 0.230469); ">Also, West Tennessee may see snow from this storm should it take the track that we're seeing. It wouldn't be much snow but certainly more than an inch or so isn't out of the realm of possibility, especially in Northwest Tennessee. Once we get closer to time this will become a bit more clear.</span> <br/><br/><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEijjX3-8tifNstDMu10kkdJgeReI753IMolksI8tMDXzJnxSvAgKxS_oveTHAQB_aqfwVAQ8eIsl3SMQ5GjpxWEj4SQaK_nn9dvFV3pisazlpagzCqdVYlDzHLqR8Ny4ilhcUnN5UnCXBoA/s800/Photo%252520Dec%25252021%25252C%2525202012%25252C%25252012%25253A26%252520PM.jpg" target="_blank" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEijjX3-8tifNstDMu10kkdJgeReI753IMolksI8tMDXzJnxSvAgKxS_oveTHAQB_aqfwVAQ8eIsl3SMQ5GjpxWEj4SQaK_nn9dvFV3pisazlpagzCqdVYlDzHLqR8Ny4ilhcUnN5UnCXBoA/s500/Photo%252520Dec%25252021%25252C%2525202012%25252C%25252012%25253A26%252520PM.jpg" id="blogsy-1356117796934.4436" class="alignleft" alt="" width="237" height="316"></a></div>
The NAO, which is the North Atlantic Oscillation, frankly isn't agreeing that there will be support for this storm. A negative NAO means blocking near Greenland allows for cold air to flow into the Eastern US and stay locked in place. The current forecast is for a positive NAO during this time, but it has been flipping between negative and positive over the past couple of days. This storm doesn't have to have a negative NAO to happen, but it would help to have it for cold air support and for a storm track that rolls up to the northeast. This will, like the aforementioned models, sort itself out over the next few days. <br/><br/> <br/><br/>Finally, NWS Louisville has been on board with this storm since yesterday. They're being cautious like they should be but mentioning at length the potential for this at 5 days out is something that they don't do very often. Here's their latest statement:<br/><br/><blockquote><p>A much more significant weather system will arrive on the 26th. Both the 00z GFS/ECM and ensembles track a strong low pressure system just to the west of the Appalachian spine which may set us up for our first significant snow. If the low pressure system takes its current forecast track, precipitation would enter the area Wed morning with the bulk of precip occurring Wed during the day and then exiting late Wed night or Thurs morning.</p><p>Although there is still much uncertainty in the track of this weather system 6 days out, the possibility is there for significant snow based on the low track and anticipated thermal profiles. BUFKIT GFS showed 8 inches at SDF with a little more than 0.5 inch of qpf. The soundings denote a classic heavy snow sounding with subzero and deep isothermal layer super saturated. The synoptic features of interest are a 110 kt jet max entering a the base of a deepening trough.</p><p>For now will have 60% pops on the 26th with rain in the morning and then snow in the afternoon and Wed night. Bing Crosby`s I`m dreaming of a White Christmas may happen, just 24 hours later.</p><p>Stay tuned for upcoming forecast updates as this weather system may put a kink in holiday travel plans.</p></blockquote>
<br/><br/>This will be a fun system to watch over the weekend. Hopefully there's some snow in our future!<br/><br/> <br/><br/>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-81394894669246171412012-12-11T21:30:00.001-06:002012-12-11T21:44:20.026-06:0012/11 - 10:30pm - Be Careful When Wishing for Snow... You Might Get it!<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQDxrI3vYu_GfKhA3Ymx_R7HYO4TaVArYrrhogMqvm4ShdepSt_DghG-4WbqINDEO9bE1_2At0HeFLxx94KzYDX27lBpQrKsitMYpYdzoyz5iBmEiw29x-mmDM7GK6Rv-7At8gwOSWYovK/s1600/ruc00hr_sfc_temp.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="172" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQDxrI3vYu_GfKhA3Ymx_R7HYO4TaVArYrrhogMqvm4ShdepSt_DghG-4WbqINDEO9bE1_2At0HeFLxx94KzYDX27lBpQrKsitMYpYdzoyz5iBmEiw29x-mmDM7GK6Rv-7At8gwOSWYovK/s200/ruc00hr_sfc_temp.jpg" width="200" /></a>With all the warmth much of the eastern portion of the nation has been experiencing lately some folks are beginning to get antsy over whether we'll be able to fall into a more winter-like pattern in time for the holidays. The cold front that rolled through earlier this week has helped to assuage some of those fears as it brought much cooler temperatures and even some light snow/sleet to parts of Kentucky and Indiana.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4eDpwt7LLs93c8j8qDwnaFpZ_oKKTUpaXR2Z7iWAMtp4wBgkU_3G3szW-Ezw-T4H33VFiVKLVil35Yqcw9G2Pf1wSxzBmHy52bsXY1TLYpATaWWrAHTnNX27Sldyb30AS3UKsjTpSSAQj/s1600/15-16warm.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4eDpwt7LLs93c8j8qDwnaFpZ_oKKTUpaXR2Z7iWAMtp4wBgkU_3G3szW-Ezw-T4H33VFiVKLVil35Yqcw9G2Pf1wSxzBmHy52bsXY1TLYpATaWWrAHTnNX27Sldyb30AS3UKsjTpSSAQj/s320/15-16warm.jpg" width="320" /></a>So... What's next?
First up is a system that will move through the region this weekend as a warm one. A low will travel from the Plains to Lake Michigan and keep the eastern half of the nation warm as it spreads rain from the Great Lakes to the South. This makes sense because the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) will be going neutral during this time, which generally means that cold air won't be able to spill down into the Eastern US from Canada. The Arctic Oscillation will be negative to support cold air coming out of the north, but that doesn't matter too much for us when the NAO isn't negative as well.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiq5o2prMtKv-MzpBREjsnOoymFzG3O_2BNkHq03yOiOljfeaYnOdwVrvxq4INQ7a4m7S2vAOCIDuUtXTOenoiGisUgMAv_p5yuj_jsjbzn0uqGT2J03KNHj64RGOGQr3_77AOzuOPQNjWJ/s1600/Explainermainsevere.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiq5o2prMtKv-MzpBREjsnOoymFzG3O_2BNkHq03yOiOljfeaYnOdwVrvxq4INQ7a4m7S2vAOCIDuUtXTOenoiGisUgMAv_p5yuj_jsjbzn0uqGT2J03KNHj64RGOGQr3_77AOzuOPQNjWJ/s320/Explainermainsevere.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_3C6yCb3c1JQFWWY21b3FBddcOP2du5AaCV3matdiLSiowLjAQChCxlcbUWLkYKOkNAbxvXSFGYQAMOCpna5v6Kl88mrDb8pfXbf_dthyphenhyphen1gN-Juqn_bfHzNn-7XvIO1JXK-MgTcSCWsi_/s1600/Explainereuro.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="150" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_3C6yCb3c1JQFWWY21b3FBddcOP2du5AaCV3matdiLSiowLjAQChCxlcbUWLkYKOkNAbxvXSFGYQAMOCpna5v6Kl88mrDb8pfXbf_dthyphenhyphen1gN-Juqn_bfHzNn-7XvIO1JXK-MgTcSCWsi_/s200/Explainereuro.jpg" width="200" /></a>The system behind this weekend's is the one that is drawing some concern. A low will be moving across the South during the day on Tuesday and potentially spread some snow to areas that are north of it. At this point anywhere from West Tennessee to the Louisville area is in a potential corridor for snow. This all depends on the exact track of the low and how much cold air it will be able to bring down from the north. This scenario is supported by the NAO and AO both going negative during this time. The GFS model takes the storm along the southern border of Tennessee right to the Carolinas. The ECMWF (European) model starts out with the low a little further south along the Mississippi River but has it exit off the coast in about the same location as the GFS. The low would then become a storm that would ride up to the Northeast just off the coast. With the previous system pulling up toward the Chicago area, this low will likely stay suppressed to the south. So... the broad, general nature of this low's track isn't in too much question. My preliminary (read: subject to change!) thinking is that this will be a rain to light snow situation for portions of Tennessee and Kentucky since cold air would plunge in as the system is exiting to the east. Accumulations would be very light to none.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-e1jiKjQIHlfBiaOWxgxFTo2aJ_ocnU674BZgT91xinl9wQhtCCV5zB9vRC3KxuVtBCCUPEMmoxUveYkBO5jfhsgSyMifH5ELg0Ooi2B5TWeo1YCMirRTBgK3U0JVjuA4GJ3zrVvB5kIS/s1600/nsm_depth_2012121105_National.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="180" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-e1jiKjQIHlfBiaOWxgxFTo2aJ_ocnU674BZgT91xinl9wQhtCCV5zB9vRC3KxuVtBCCUPEMmoxUveYkBO5jfhsgSyMifH5ELg0Ooi2B5TWeo1YCMirRTBgK3U0JVjuA4GJ3zrVvB5kIS/s320/nsm_depth_2012121105_National.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
But here's an issue. The snow cover over the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest has expanded tremendously over the past week as a storm pummeled those areas with quite a bit of snow. We're now at 31.4% snow cover over the United States. Air moving from the north over that snow won't warm as quickly as it would over bare land and the computer models generally have a difficult time resolving that. With this snow cover, the air in place over us and the air coming down from the north may be a little cooler than the computer models think it will be at the moment. That could mean more snow from this system. We're still a week away from this event so while details are sketchy, it's now obvious that this is a system to watch. This likely won't be the only storm we'll have to contend with between now and the new year since a pattern is setting up that will allow cold air to sit close by to the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys while lows track through and just to the south of the region. There's hope for a white Christmas in the region but it will depend on whether we can get enough cold air and a storm to move through just before the 25th. It'll be fun to watch!Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-46038357904963705082012-12-02T16:10:00.000-06:002012-12-02T16:14:58.043-06:0012/2 - 4:15pm - A Needed Shot of Rain on the Way<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGCWdF1VhAcRzBRaRMeYbwxopyZGyElerek8uZE1jaAOn-jzeSslmqp7f_TDz9pyAr5bx2Z5IFzwpIrsyP4kVEulGIcZZqlDYLPF41RtHsw4MDOR7q9G-fBH8BWE8ML4r4dlkipSV7Rw_P/s1600/GOES21312012337vDB1BN.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="150" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGCWdF1VhAcRzBRaRMeYbwxopyZGyElerek8uZE1jaAOn-jzeSslmqp7f_TDz9pyAr5bx2Z5IFzwpIrsyP4kVEulGIcZZqlDYLPF41RtHsw4MDOR7q9G-fBH8BWE8ML4r4dlkipSV7Rw_P/s200/GOES21312012337vDB1BN.jpg" width="200" /></a>A few brief showers scraped across northern portions of West Tennessee this morning as expected. The disturbance causing those morning showers has left behind some cloud cover across the region with peeks of sun here and there. More of the incredibly warm weather that we've seen for the past few days arrives tomorrow just in time for the Jackson Christmas Parade at 6:45pm. 75 still looks like a good bet for a high temperature during the afternoon as we start the workweek on Monday.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEia7jrd6caDF3Dm0hdAveoTMUp6LJPgD72T-3HNlqWOA_0cEapPOwuybwQvGmAvezFErGwlELzGzK2op__X_P3imQhd7F9NEOqK8GC4CSGUy_4HQ1N876cG7Xw92YEwTfleA5OZav5q_nZ5/s1600/Untitled-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="127" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEia7jrd6caDF3Dm0hdAveoTMUp6LJPgD72T-3HNlqWOA_0cEapPOwuybwQvGmAvezFErGwlELzGzK2op__X_P3imQhd7F9NEOqK8GC4CSGUy_4HQ1N876cG7Xw92YEwTfleA5OZav5q_nZ5/s200/Untitled-1.jpg" width="200" /></a><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi5-b8BLxvO4L9WNN3b9QM1D1_iPfql1ivhxIY8QMwzOeO04tEH1djmxAE4wcCrOPKCga6UJf99jLl5r4xlUcEShiDF221BVP-mStrkBKYBss7jo8xdIjaHOmghjSXyw0i4SBfyAch62Mcb/s1600/Explainermain.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="150" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi5-b8BLxvO4L9WNN3b9QM1D1_iPfql1ivhxIY8QMwzOeO04tEH1djmxAE4wcCrOPKCga6UJf99jLl5r4xlUcEShiDF221BVP-mStrkBKYBss7jo8xdIjaHOmghjSXyw0i4SBfyAch62Mcb/s200/Explainermain.jpg" width="200" /></a>Much of the area is experiencing moderate drought conditions right now. Even though the growing season is pretty much over it is still important for rainfall to keep up so that we don't have an already-in-place drought come spring. The good news here is that we have a chance for a good soaking rain on Tuesday with over a half inch possible in most places. The front causing this rain will leave behind only slightly cooler temperatures in the 60's, which is still warmer than average for this time of year. The next round of rain on Friday and Saturday is the one to watch as it could bring much, much cooler weather to the area next weekend behind it.<br />
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Check out the video below from yesterday night's newscast on WBBJ for your full forecast!<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" frameborder="0" height="339" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/6XVt8xlepMA" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-56341790024154347622012-11-26T14:19:00.000-06:002012-11-26T14:19:14.477-06:0011/26 - 2:15pm - Rainy Start to the Week, Severe to the Southwest<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWChga0nWURwhKh20PxbuHJRNo0Z9UiF8c_rbZ7fqfXP8__fgElNNvt7p2Px2iqu6XYIDQaB46Z888HkvKiiJPh3coX9SeBhWzypHnBIf_CXA2BaDFx6p5eJl5EwkUHcsU8TIJAADeadG-/s1600/rad.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="151" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWChga0nWURwhKh20PxbuHJRNo0Z9UiF8c_rbZ7fqfXP8__fgElNNvt7p2Px2iqu6XYIDQaB46Z888HkvKiiJPh3coX9SeBhWzypHnBIf_CXA2BaDFx6p5eJl5EwkUHcsU8TIJAADeadG-/s200/rad.png" width="200" /></a></div>
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhPe4DjwbKV3F2Nq61qDoUzHhNgjsg55um-8iq5p2QD08xXflihpFbLw3pUypCsYbK46Vo3_LWSPTAuyhWAjEjy2h7jgkthnwKmW3mSir4XX7bKVAZbhyhOuihGVFeEUCCi7MPVJCfJtLOP/s1600/day1otlk_2000.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="187" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhPe4DjwbKV3F2Nq61qDoUzHhNgjsg55um-8iq5p2QD08xXflihpFbLw3pUypCsYbK46Vo3_LWSPTAuyhWAjEjy2h7jgkthnwKmW3mSir4XX7bKVAZbhyhOuihGVFeEUCCi7MPVJCfJtLOP/s200/day1otlk_2000.jpg" width="200" /></a>Had enough of the rain in Starkville this morning and afternoon? Just wait, there's more! An area of moist air ahead of a cold front that will move through tonight is inspiring the development of numerous showers and those will eventually lead to some thunderstorms late tonight. Some of the storms to our southwest could be severe but it's looking more and more like we won't have quite enough moisture and instability to get that kind of storm activity closer to the Golden Triangle. A Slight Risk of severe weather has been issued for areas west of I-55 due to the possibility for severe storms toward Jackson and Vicksburg. Once the cold front sweeps through tonight it'll leave us with cloudy skies for a good chunk of the day tomorrow before things clear out for Wednesday and Thursday.<br />
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The weekend will feature some clouds and possibly a shower here and there but overall we'll be seeing one warm end to the month of November as temperatures get close to and surge past 70 degrees! Check out the video below for your detailed CampusConnect forecast.<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" frameborder="0" height="449" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/s2k3NEmJytg" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8035454953238352283.post-1487978338563187772012-11-12T14:04:00.000-06:002012-11-12T14:07:12.772-06:0011/12 - 2pm - A Frigid Fall Return in Progress!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjmecPUn_QnESXIdyII2EbH8gY14xstf6rqlsdXitugwBAyR2LKZvPI2z9PxgzL5zSwjYj9Pe2RqKsxKmSPE8ollJvK8eR7pw_J4jCWgR89_8iJ15f5oOubSwHqKxPqDKdMA7HUDVRTILhI/s1600/GOES19312012317UJEIpD.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="150" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjmecPUn_QnESXIdyII2EbH8gY14xstf6rqlsdXitugwBAyR2LKZvPI2z9PxgzL5zSwjYj9Pe2RqKsxKmSPE8ollJvK8eR7pw_J4jCWgR89_8iJ15f5oOubSwHqKxPqDKdMA7HUDVRTILhI/s200/GOES19312012317UJEIpD.jpg" width="200" /></a></div>
The clouds are clearing earlier than expected across Mississippi, which is good news for those looking for a more picturesque day outside. Unfortunately this will not save us from an incredible drop in temperature this evening across the Golden Triangle. The cold front that came through earlier this morning is allowing northwesterly winds to bring in an arctic air mass that will help plunge us to around the freezing mark by early tomorrow morning. If you're looking for something a little warmer than that, just wait. Temperatures will break into the 60's again by Wednesday as sunny skies continue to stick around through most of the week. Your full forecast with all the details is available in the video below!<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" frameborder="0" height="449" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/ZSYAj3qS7d0" width="598"></iframe>Ryan Hokehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13390924381831033232noreply@blogger.com0