2/6 - 8pm - A Warm and Wild Week

How about those 50's today? I actually ventured outside of the house without a jacket for the first time in weeks! If you like this kind of weather, you're in luck for most of next week. The southeast "snowstorm-busting" ridge providing us with these nice southerly winds and 60 degree temperatures will stick around for the weekend and most, if not all of next week. Low pressure passing to our north will generate a chance for some showers on Sunday, but major rainfall will hold off until Tuesday through Thursday.

The GFS is showing a potent round of severe storms on Tuesday night heading through Texas and Oklahoma, but that should fall apart and die out before it reaches us. I'm a bit concerned about Wednesday evening because the GFS is showing quite a bit of heavy rain and possible severe weather at this time. It's too early to tell how severe it will be and if it will be in the immediate area, but it's certainly worth watching. I think the SPC (Storm Prediction Center) will have some areas outlined for severe potential on the Wednesday evening system in the coming days.

Here's the question that's been looming in my head for the last couple of days: "What happens when this ridge breaks down/moves out and colder air comes into play?" The answer is pretty simple according to the GFS; It's time to return to winter. More specifically, I think we'll have more chances for snow just after Valentine's day. Storms riding along the southern edge of the new trough that'll sink in should give somewhere in the region a good snowstorm or two at some point later this month. Pinpointing dates and places for these storms will start pretty soon, but more time is needed so the long range models can get their act together.

For now, I think we're pretty content with our current weather. Enjoy!