Tuesday, February 17, 2009

2/17 - 8:30pm - Did Someone Say Snow?

I'm back from a great trip at Mississippi State University. Every time I go there it's difficult to come back home and adjust to high school life. Just under 4 months to go until I graduate!

Enough about me, let's look at what the GFS run for a snow system on late Friday into Saturday:



The 18z is really layering on the precipitation as a low passes to our north. I don't like how this low is passing to our north and generating that much moisture south of it. Usually the low would need to go south of us if we were to have temperatures cold enough for it to snow and to have the bulk of the moisture. Temperatures warm just above freezing in the daytime during this event on the GFS, but it's still too far out to call that the correct solution. There's still quite a bit of time for the GFS to get its act together this week, but I think we'll get some snow out of this regardless. Could be an inch or it could be several inches as is depicted right now, we'll see.

In the meantime, showers will be coming through tonight and continue as heavier rain tomorrow with a high near 60. We'll see a brief changeover to snow early Thursday morning, and that should continue until the late morning hours. Flurries and snow showers with little or no accumulation are expected on Thursday with a high near 32. Yep, that's about a 30 degree temperature difference between the highs on Wednesday and Thursday... yikes!

We'll top out just under 40 on Friday and it's uncertain what exactly will transpire this weekend with this snow system. I do know that a bit of a warm up is in store for next week, so be ready for another ride on the temperature rollercoaster!

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