Wednesday, February 18, 2009

2/18 - 7:30pm - Wild Day of Storms

We managed to escape most of the strong and severe storms around the region today, but tornadoes well to our south have been quite an issue. Hail was reported across the area, averaging between pea and golfball size at the most. Winds gusted to 45mph this afternoon, but luckily that wasn't enough to cause any power issues around the Metro.

A few snow showers will come through tonight and tomorrow behind this sharp cold front, with temperatures only topping out at around 30. Looks like a high near 40 for Friday.

The newest NAM and GFS model runs have warmed up the storm coming through on Friday night into Saturday a bit, so we could get mostly rain instead of snow. We should know tomorrow what kind of precipitation we'll be getting, but I think we might be just cold enough for snow and that the models will correct back to a solution similar to yesterday's.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

im curious to see if 00z gfs makes any sort of shift in favor of snowier 18z-00z nam. if it doesnt, i guess well have to discount nam for now, though i hope its on to something. i feel like this winter it has performed very well, though it did not handle ice storm very well this far out so i am skeptical to bite on it at all yet.

and on another note, im a fellow high school weather geek. im a junior right now, and i just signed up for ap environmental science for next year. you think that will look good to college weather depts? did you take anything like that?

keep up the good work. looking forward to discussing this weekends storm.

Ryan Hoke said...

I'm definitely watching for a shift as well. Our best storms don't show up in the models until they're 24-48 hours out in my experience.

AP Environmental Science is great, but you really need physics and calculus before you graduate to get ahead of the ballgame. I'd suggest taking AB Calculus and honors or AP Physics.

Anonymous said...

yep. i hear you on that. this will either be a very exciting or very disappointing next couple of days. obviously, im rooting for the snow. weve got like 4 inches total this year down here. almost as much ice as snow this year with december storm and two weeks ago haha.

and right now im taking physics and i signed up for calculus next year. we dont have ap physics or i would have taken that. such as it is, me and two other students are in there with an algebra II class. so we dont really do much. i dont really feel like im getting much out of it haha. college physics may nail me.