8/21 - 9pm - Rain... Where'd it Go?

I haven't mowed the lawn since last weekend. It hasn't grown an inch since and its now a nice shade of brown. Where's our rain?

While we had a few passing showers today, nothing hit the metro directly. I think we'll see some rain early next week with the passing of Tropical Storm Fay and a front that looks promising for us. We'll also see a dip in temperatures after this weekend. Highs in the 80's should hold for most of next week if not all.

Here's a track update from Fay:



Notice how much further south the track has shifted since yesterday. I'm not going to post the spaghetti charts since they have about the same track and margin of error as the NHC's above. It's still not going to become a hurricane with this track. Anything track further south than this would make me concerned though.

Here's an excerpt from the Old Farmer's Almanac website pertaining to the Ohio Valley's winter forecast:

The coldest periods will be in mid-December, early January, and early February. Precipitation will be near normal in the east and above normal in the west, with above-normal snowfall nearly everywhere. Expect snowfall in time for Thanksgiving, frequent snow in December, and additional snowfalls from January to mid-February.

Interesting how this is different from the CPC's warm forecast for this winter. Many think that forecasts from almanacs are rubbish. That's not the case because there really is a good bit of long range forecasting science that goes into these. The techniques used are not as common though, like using sunspots to predict long range weather patterns.