It's been a dry and cool week so far, but it looks like we could transition into a more active pattern. Expect a chance of rain tomorrow, with temperatures hovering where they've been for a while. The weekend now looks dry as the GFS and NAM models have backed off on low pressure interference quite a bit. That should come into play after this weekend and stay with us for the remainder of next week. We should get a few shots at rain with that situation.
One of the two tropical waves I talked about yesterday has weakened somewhat, however the one closest to Caribbean is still scheduled to become a tropical depression either tomorrow or Friday according to the National Hurricane Center. It's path right now takes it near the Eastern Florida Panhandle, a prime zone for development due to water temperatures.
The Kentucky State Fair starts tomorrow, so get out there and enjoy the nice weather while we've got it! Speaking of which... I've had this recurring thought that this weather we're having could lead to a change in our Winter temperatures. If this general jet stream orientation continues, it could very well lead to a cooler winter than usual. This is just speculation at this point, but there is talk about this on some private weather sites. The CPC still maintains a warm forecast for winter.
1 comment:
I like the word "interference" when talking about an approaching system. Kudos! As for the coming winter, lets first look forward to the prospects of an active Fall severe season. With the persistant NW-ly flow aloft that will eventually sink a bit farther south as we head into Fall, it could get interesting. One method of long-range forecasting states that whatever the current/persistant overall pattern is will persist into the first half of the new season, then shift. If that were the case, you might be able to argue for a mild winter. We'll see I guess.
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