Thursday, January 18, 2007
Hold your breath!
Things are beginning to get a little more clear for our Saturday-Sunday (Not Sun-Mon anymore). The temperature is a little warmer on the models today than yesterday, which is making me a little nervous about a bust on this thing. BUT, there is still ample room for snow here, luckily most of it falling in the evening and early hours. If we can get at least 2 inches laid down by 9am Sunday, we'll be okay I think. The reflection of light from the snow cover will hold temperatures down and make way for any additional accumulation throughout Sunday. There is also some uncertainty about the storm track and intensity, since this will be a weakening system once it reaches us. If weakening from New Mexico to Arkansas doesn't occur, we could have 4-6 inches. At any rate I think we are in good shape for 2-3 inches. 4 inches is possible with today's model runs, we just have to HOLD OUR BREATH that the temperature stays below 32 degrees all through Sunday so we can get the maximum snow possible. I know John Belski is gunning for a 32 degree high, and I have been seeing other forecasts starting to edge lower to that number as we have gotten closer to this. Still a toss up for school cancellation. I am concerned that the storm is occurring a little earlier than I thought because it has more room to melt/evaporate before school on Monday. They put brine on the roads today in preparation for this, which really makes sense because I think it takes at least 24 hours to cure. There are supposed to be some light snow showers on Monday-Tuesday that could (hopefully) refresh our top layer of snow on the ground for new sledding tracks in the backyard. Stay tuned for continuous video and text updates from Ryan Weather starting Friday evening and really kicking into high gear on Saturday afternoon when the snow starts.
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