Can Someone Throw Me a Decent Model ?!!!

I've had it. The GFS is showing a little snow. The Canadian is showing a moderate snow. The European is showing a big snow! AHHHHH!!!! I can't take this anymore. And no I can't forecast accumulations yet with this monkey business going on!

Well, at least we can throw out the GFS (thank you!). The NWS said there was a "phasing" bug in it that is screwing up vertical placement for a storm, so no Nashville you will not get what you are seeing on the GFS. I've heard a loose consensus among Euro and Japan models, which is similar to yesterday.

All I can say for us is that the NWS had a temperature of 41 for Thursday on the Saturday forecast. Tonight, that was changed to 34 and a, oh yeah baby, 50% chance of snow. This is up from 40% yesterday. Our good friends at the HPC (Hydrological Prediction Center) also put out this lovely map this evening:


Yes, that is a >10% chance of 4 inches or greater, which is pretty good for three days out. This will change in the next few days, but if it is consistent tomorrow with today's run, I will start telling you to get excited.

Belski also upped his ante for snow too. He posted an image of the infamous Future Radar 3000, and it had a doozy of a storm in here on Thursday. Hmmm.... Euro+Japan+Canadian+FR 3000= Pretty good chance for storm, eh? I JUST CAN'T ESTIMATE ACCUMULATION YET!!!!

Do not get your hopes up just yet. But increase from yesterday if you want.