We're getting into position in Southwest Kansas right now for storms this afternoon. Southwest flow aloft coupled with forecast easterly winds at the surface in this area will provide good air support for supercells this afternoon. Even though a big dry line push yesterday scoured out all the low level moisture in this area last night, it is already recovering and we should have dew points in the 60's this afternoon according to the 9z RUC computer model. CAPE values should rise reasonably enough for storms this afternoon, but there's concern that cool temperatures in the area this morning will compromise the cap this morning, meaning that storms could fire up before the optimum moisture and instability arrive.
In any case, storms will be moving slower today than yesterday, so they will be much easier to chase compared to yesterday. The SPC has issed a Slight Risk and 5% risk for tornadoes in our area, so we'll keep an eye on things as they develop this afternoon!Remember that you can view our LIVE video stream at http://stormchasertv.com when severe weather begins. You can also follow me on Twitter and Facebook for the latest chase updates.
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