The sun came out a couple hours ago and warmed us up quite a bit today, but thunderstorms are on the way from the southeast. The SPC has put us under a 5% risk for tornadoes this afternoon and evening, but so far we've only seen scattered non-severe storms in areas to our west. With the amount of sunshine we saw today, we may see a few of these storms reach severe limits. The Pegasus Parade starts in half an hour and I think the storms are far enough away to not pose any problems until after the parade ends.
Storms will continue tonight and then more thunderstorms will roll through tomorrow afternoon. At this time the SPC doesn't have us in a severe weather threat area and I think instability won't be as strong as previously thought. In any case, Oaks could get wet.
The forecast for the Kentucky Derby is deteriorating at the moment. The GFS and NAM models are giving us showers during the day and evening on Saturday, which means our high may not break 70 degrees. Better get some plastic to cover those Derby hats!
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