4/8 -7pm - Straddling the Edge of Two Severe Outbreaks

I've been in Pennsylvania since Sunday, and let me tell you that Louisville has had some nice weather lately! Coming back to mid-70's was a nice welcome home after mid-40's in State College, PA.

The 70's won't last long. By Saturday we'll drop 15 degrees into the mid-50's after a nasty storm system rolls through. Speaking of which, Thursday and/or Friday could harbor some severe weather for us. The two images below are the SPC's severe outlooks for Thursday and Friday respectively:




Notice how close to the edge we are on both of these. This is because the storms will roll through here Thursday night into Friday, which could deplete the capability of these storms. The storms would fall apart Thursday night and redevelop Friday morning, hopefully after they're out of here. Any shift in timing though will result in a much different scenario though. If the MODERATE risk on Thursday (first image) shifts to our area, we're in trouble. Inside that risk area is the potential for one of the worst tornado outbreaks in quite some time. We don't want that at all.

So if all goes according to plan, the storms will roll through here at night and not be as bad. I'll keep my eye on this to see if the timing changes. We'll be lucky if we do get to stay within the weakening zone we're in for these storms.