Sunday, February 25, 2007

372 Hours Out? Yeah Right GFS.

I love how the GFS model teases us with these petty little storms so far out in the model timing. Look at this:



This is on March 12th really late at night. **IF** this were to occur, we could see more than a foot of snow. Here are three reasons why you shouldn't care:
  1. THIS IS 372 HOURS AWAY FROM NOW!!! The model has episodes this far out.
  2. The 540 line is right over us, which with our luck will probably go north of us
  3. The low could shift north or south with consecutive models
You should not worry about this. I will keep watch on this for the next 16 days. If this thing is consistent with the 540/moisture/timing by this time next week, then I will start really analyzing this thing. If the model resembles any thing close to this by 2 weeks from now (with moisture and 540 line in place, along with low pressure tracking south of us) I will start hyperventilating.

Aside from loony model runs and crazy long-range forecasting, today was again wet. We picked up .14" of rain since midnight at my house. There will be some rain on Thursday, but the storms will head south to about the same area that got tornadoes yesterday. We should be just soggy though...

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