Wednesday, February 27, 2008

2/27 - 4pm - Interesting Long Range Storms

Let's begin with today, which has been cold and snowy. There are a few spotty (but heavy) snow showers charging through the area right now. I just picked up a quick half inch in 15 minutes here before the sun came back out. The temperature took a little bit of a hit as well, dropping down to 26 before recovering back to 28 after the snow. Fortunately our snow from earlier this morning didn't cause any problems here other than some lightly covered side roads.

Next weekend (Thurs - Saturday) is giving me problems. The GFS has been consistently putting a nasty storm in here today for this period and I'm not sure what to think. One scenario has a large storm developing in the Midwest and then sliding right up the coast giving us a quick hit of snow. The two other scenarios have smaller, yet more potent storms riding right up the Ohio River. Those storms would be whoppers to say the least.

It's still too early to grab a prediction out of the GFS crystal ball, but I will say that this might be the storm I thought would happen as winter exits the Northern hemisphere. It's interesting how this storm wasn't on the model yesterday as a snow maker, yet all day today the temperature has been consistently been below freezing on the model for this storm. We'll have to wait and see. Still two weekends away...

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

And this is why you should not post before the 18z gfs is out:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_126l.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_132l.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_138l.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwpara/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_144l.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_150l.gif


12z precip for the storm (.75):
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwpara/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_p36_156l.gif

18z precip for the storm (3.00!!!):
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwpara/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_p36_150l.gif


HOLY $%^(#$!!!!!!

As a faithfull reader to your blog, I expect an update on this tonight!