Tuesday, November 27, 2007

11/27 - 6:30pm - Snow or Rain?

The forecast is pretty much unchanged from yesterday's post. We still have a chance for flurries or snow showers on Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

The more pressing issue is this weekend. There are currently two very different solutions being proposed at the moment and I'm pulling my hair out trying to figure out which one is correct. The first solution is that we have nearly 100% snow for this weekend, although its been a few hours since any forecast model has shown this. The second and more likely solution is a good shot of heavy rain this weekend with some light snow as the precipitation exits our area on Sunday night. Since that's what all the computer models are going with, that's what I'm going to stick with for the moment. I'm still a little skeptical because the low that this is associated with this would have to dive into a mass of cold air, which would normally deflect it or block it. This has happened before though and isn't too rare. Late last night we had a huge rash of models suggest a snowstorm for us this weekend with multiple inches of snow. This is still possible because the models are notorious for switching back and forth between solutions, even just hours from a storm. So like I said yesterday, don't get your hopes up.

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