Sunday, November 8, 2009

11/8 - 5:30 - MSU Forecast & Hurricane Ida

Here's your latest Mississippi State University forecast:


Interaction between Hurricane Ida (I'll talk about that storm in a second) and an eastward-moving disturbance should give us some rain tomorrow, most likely in the afternoon and evening hours. Any rain that falls tomorrow evening could be heavy with the infusion of Gulf moisture from Ida, so be ready for some very wet conditions. The rain should taper off by Tuesday morning and leave us with sunny skies for the rest of the week.

Hurricane Ida is positioned between the Yucatan Peninsula and Cuba right now with sustained winds of 100 mph:


A small jump in speed has moved the storm track quite a bit north over the past day or so, meaning that landfall will most likely happen on the Gulf Coast in AL, MS, or even LA. Current indications are pointing towards Ida being a weak hurricane at landfall, but any increase in northward speed would mean a stronger storm at landfall. A faster storm would also mean more rain and wind for us here in East Mississippi.

The National Hurricane Center's track is in good agreement with the current spaghetti charts (compilations of different computer-projected storm paths):


We'll really have to watch these over the next couple days as Ida takes aim on the Gulf Coast.

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