6/9 - 11am CDT - There's Energy in the Air

There's energy in the air here in our chase vehicle and there's literal energy near the Kansas/Oklahoma border. The SPC has issued a MODERATE Risk for that area, as well as a good chunk of Eastern Kansas as well. What caught my attention was the tornado risk they issued this morning:


Our predicament this morning is that we may not be able to make it that far north from Abilene, TX in time. Current indications are pointing toward earlier development of storms than expected, so we may have to just chase storms that form along the dry line further south. In any case, here's what instability looks like for this afternoon:



CAPE values of over 4500 J/KG will definitely spur severe storms, but how they will organize is unclear at this point. Decent shear throughout much of the Plains should help with supercell formation today as well. Let's hope these storms in OK/KS don't fire too early!

As usual, I'll be posting frequent updates on Twitter and Facebook today.