Instability won't be too strong tomorrow, so expect some wind-driven thunderstorms to fire up in the afternoon. This threat may be enhanced if we see more sunshine than expected. Speaking of sunshine, where is it!? It's on the way for early next week, but I think there may be a few peeks of sun here and there between now and then.
Friday probably won't see much in the way of sunshine with more storms coming through. The latest instability data suggests a lesser threat for severe weather on Friday than previously thought, so the SPC has taken the area out of the SLIGHT Risk area they had yesterday. Still a few details to be hammered out with this next system, so we'll have to keep watch on it. We'll most likely see the remains of an MCS (mesoscale convective system --big 'ol line of thunderstorms) come through, but the elements aren't there for this thing to be terribly strong.
As this Friday system exits the area, it'll leave behind some showers for Saturday. Sunday and Monday is when the sun will come out for a good while and temperatures will stay in the mid 70's.
2 comments:
Hey Ryan, Long time reader first time commenter.
I was wondering what is your take on the severe storm chances for Thursday and Friday? Think we could see an outbreak?
I don't think either day will be classified as an "outbreak," but both have the potential right now to cause some problems. Instability looks marginal at best for tomorrow, but winds will be enough to push some storms past severe limits.
The SPC has taken us out of the SLIGHT Risk area for Friday, but I'm starting to think that we could see more severe weather than previously thought. Instability looks better and the sun might actually come out and contribute to it quite a bit. I'm not sure though... you never quite know what you have on your hands until the morning before the possible severe weather.
Thanks for being a long-time reader John!
Take Care,
-Ryan Hoke
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