Today is the start of the 2007 hurricane season. Talk about getting out of the gate early, we've got a tropical storm on our hands already. Tropical Storm Barry is set to hit the Florida Gulf Coast tomorrow, where the rain is needed. Luckily it looks too close to land to really crank up too fast.
Last year's hurricane season was a fizzle, thankfully. The storms had trouble even breaching the Gulf. This new storm scares me though. If we are getting storms that are easily passing through this early in the season, there is much reason for concern. The first storm in the violent 2005 (Katrina) season formed two weeks after the start of the season, not the first day. All we can do is watch and wait really.
On a lighter note, we are in good shape for some rain Sunday night into Monday. NAM looks good right now, just as it did yesterday. The GFS is roundabout the same with just a little less moisture. Since the NAM has a better track record, I'll stick with that model. So hopefully we can get back on track soon!
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