5/15 - 6:45pm - A Few More Storms

As storms moved through late this afternoon, heavy rain fell and even hail was reported. Parts of Eastern Jefferson County reported hail larger than golf ball size and we were placed under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning until the cell passed. We may see a few more scattered storms this evening, but more substantial precipitation will come from storms ahead of a cold front expected to come through tomorrow evening. Rain should start tomorrow morning and end before midnight.

After all this rainy mess goes through, we're done with rain for quite a while! The computer models look free and clear until next weekend. Temperatures will rise from 70 to the mid 80's by late week.

22 days until storm chasing begins!

5/14 - 6:30pm - Scattered Storms Tomorrow

A few scattered storms will make the rounds around the Louisville area tomorrow, but nothing severe is on the table it looks like. Heavier and more widespread precipitation will be here on Saturday afternoon, lasting until just after midnight according to the GFS and NAM models. The rest of the weekend and most of next week will be cooler, but not a drop of rain will be in sight.

This was posted over on John Belski's blog, but it bears a reposting here. Take a look at this video of a tornado in Kirksville, MO yesterday evening:



I was watching some live video streams from that area yesterday, but I didn't see anything nearly this dramatic. This tornado destroyed 10 homes and damaged 60 buildings, killing two people in the process. Severe weather could fire up again in the same area on Saturday. Let's hope we don't get that close during my two weeks of chasing coming up.

23 days until storm chasing begins!

5/13 - 4pm - Soggy Days Ahead

A batch of heavy rain is passing to our north at the moment and I think they'll just barely miss us this afternoon. Areas north of the Ohio River will most likely receive rain, but Louisville will probably stay dry until late tonight. A nasty line of storms is expected to develop and charge through the OKC and St. Louis areas this evening, so the SPC has put that area under a MODERATE Risk for severe weather:


These storms will weaken as they approach the Louisville area late tonight and into tomorrow morning, so I don't expect any severe weather here. It's just too late at night for these storms to stay severe because of the lack of solar heating an instability. Any rain tomorrow should end by the early afternoon.

Friday will be warmer with a high near 80, but rain will still be a factor. A few showers and thunderstorms will come through during the afternoon, so keep the umbrella handy. Spotty showers will develop on Saturday morning, but those should fill in and create a rainy afternoon and evening as we head into the weekend. The leftover rain on Sunday should clear out in early morning and leave us with a dry week to look forward to.

24 days until storm chasing begins!

5/12 - 5pm - Thunderstorms On the Way

While nothing severe is expected, thunderstorms will be rolling through tonight and tomorrow in the early afternoon hours. The storms should lessen up a bit on Thursday night, but a new round will be back for Friday afternoon. The storms on Saturday and Saturday night should be the last ones for quite a while, so we can all look forward to 70's and sunshine for next week!

25 days until storm chasing begins!

5/11 - 4pm - Another Nice Day!

A few showers popped up in Eastern Jefferson County this afternoon, but they moved out in a hurry and the rest of the day will be rain-free. Tomorrow looks clear and dry at this point, with a high near 75.

Thunderstorms will move through on Wednesday and Thursday. The storms on Wednesday will certainly be severe near the St. Louis area, but a lack of instability will keep things under control here. Expect a round of storms early Wednesday afternoon and then again on Thursday during the mid to late morning. The SPC just barely has us in a SLIGHT Risk area for severe weather on Wednesday, but again, I think the main problems (tornado and otherwise) will occur near the St. Louis area.

Spotty thunderstorms will be around on Friday and Saturday, with more steady rain occurring on Saturday night and Sunday. Next week looks pretty dry!

5/9 - 12:45pm - New Video Forecast

There's a chance for some showers this afternoon, but overall the forecast looks pretty good! Next big chance of rain happens on Wednesday and there could be some strong or severe storms on Thursday.

5/8 - 11:30pm - Severe Weather & Flooding Over

Our severe weather risk is officially over for the day and all flood-related watches and advisories have expired. The storm that caused wind damage to areas west of Evansville, IN weakened considerably before it arrived in Louisville, which prevented us from seeing any high winds. That's quite a relief!

Check back tomorrow afternoon for an updated video forecast!